Early this year, Bridgestone India, part of the Bridgestone China, Asia-Pacific SBU, joined the company's EMEA Strategic Business Unit (SBU) and became a part of the Bridgestone Emerging Markets division, alongside the company's businesses in Africa, the Middle East, and Russia. The change will expand Bridgestone India's business reach, especially in digital space, retails, OE and aftermarket sales in both passenger and commercial tyres in line with the transition that is happening in the Indian auto industry.

"The European markets are very advanced in terms of auto and tyre regulations and technologies. We see the regulations (related to the auto and tyre industries), being introduced in India, are also going in the same direction of the Europeans' with rapid speed. For instance, we have jumped from BSIV to BSVI to match the European standards. In addition to that, the company's European tyre business is quite mature and advance in specific areas such as digital technology and fuel efficiency of tyres and we also see these becoming big areas for the Indian tyre industry soon. So, by connecting the Indian entity more closely with our EMIA set up, we can leverage the knowledge and expertise of the European market to help develop the Indian business faster," says Parag Satpute, Managing Director, Bridgestone India Private Limited.

Today the Indian auto industry is witnessing faster adaption of global disruptive technologies and trends in the local context. However, bringing disruptive technologies in the Indian market will not be easy for Bridgestone as demand is still primarily determined by prices. According to Satpute, the Indian market is growing rapidly across the sectors, and the country will witness a leapfrog to opt for new technologies. "A decade ago, the e-commerce business was not existent in India but see how quick it took off. The digital evolution has also happened at a faster pace in India. The cell phones came to India comparatively late, but today the penetration of cell phones is very high compared to any other nation. The same kind of growth will happen in the automotive and tyre sector in India. Being a global leader in the tyre industry, we would also like to be a front runner in India and connecting to our European setup allows us to leverage technologies directly as and when the Indian customers are ready to adapt," explains Satpute.

Among the new mobilities, Satpute is bullish on the shared and electric mobility in India. Satpute predicts that due to value prepositions, the shared mobility will continue its dominance in India, barring the current hiccups, in the long run. According to a new study by Frost & Sullivan, the Indian shared mobility market is expected to further grow at a CAGR of 9.7% between 2019 and 2025 to reach 4.7 million. Total revenue from ride-hailing services is valued at $22.40 billion and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 13.7% over the 2019- 2025 period, said the study.

Satpute sees a rapid growth in the EV space.  "We have seen that the government is very aggressive to make better growth opportunities in the EV segment. Today the electric vehicle market is small, but it is another segment which has the potential to grow very fast. We are very keen to be partnered with OEs for EVs by using our experience of developing EV tyres in Europe and Japan. We're working very closely with leading OEs,” " adds he.

Under the FAME II, the government has increased the financial investment for EVs and mobility to $1.4 billion, more than a 10-fold increase from INR 895 crores ($129 million) under the past FAME I scheme.

Getting the maximum mileage per charge is the core demand of electric vehicles and Bridgestone, in the Indian market, is already offering a line of products that increases fuel efficiency. For example, the Ecopia tyre line increases fuel efficiency by 7% to 10%. Recently the company has also launched a new technology called ENLITEN in Europe for electric vehicles which increases the mileage per charge. ENLITEN Technology enables tyres to have a super low rolling resistance for excellent fuel efficiency and improves vehicle handling and driving dynamics to help increase driving pleasure. "We will bring such technologies to India, if the demand of the electric vehicle picks up," says Satpute.

"Another factor that drives the growth for the EVs tyres is low noise. In Europe, we have deployed the technology that reduces noise of tyres.. However, currently, we do not see the noise reduction is a big topic of the discussion in India, but it will come. In future the low noise will be one area that we will be focusing on and we have the right capability to bring that technology," he said.

Contactless solutions

According to Satpute, during the COVID and even post COVID, people will prefer contactless solutions for buying and servicing tyres. In line with the trends, Bridgestone India introduced Contactless Tyre Servicing platform called 'Bridgestone Bookmyservice', the platform enables customers to take an online appointment in a few clicks, making them spend less time in outlets with these pre-planned visits. "People don't want to go to different dealers and haggle over prices. The focus in the current times remains on being safe. And that being our core value, we came up with this solution which enables our customers to avail essential services without compromising their safety as well as that of our channel partners."

However, Satpute also adds that tyre selling on e-commerce might be limited. "You need professional equipment and skill for fitting, balancing and other related services. What we have seen is that people do research to understand and find perfect tyres online but then go to stores to buy them. Now, with the digital platform, we can connect customers with to our physical stores. Today the company has over 4,000 outlets out of that 500 are dedicated for contactless services which are present in tier 2 and tier 3 cities as well. The company will leverage the select store network to accelerate that contactless businesses.”

Indian consumers are also getting conscious of safety. "Indians are now looking more into the safety aspect. Trusted brands will be preferred in the long run."

The increasing purchasing power of Indians, thanks to growing income and economy, will boost demands for passenger cars in India. While the commercial vehicle segment in India will thrive on improving infrastructure and road connectivity. The trends in the commercial vehicles segment will open new avenues for Bridgestone India. The total cost of ownership is becoming focal points for trucks and buses manufacturers to push their products in the market, and that is making way for modern vehicles, equipped with technologies. Satpute says modern trucks and buses will fuel more demand for radial tyres, which has around 40% market share in the total commercial vehicles tyre market. "It is true that the commercial tyre market is dominated by a handful of players. But around 60 % to 65 % of commercial tyre market is of bias tyres where we do not have a presence. With better infrastructure and modern vehicles, radialisation will pick up in the segment," he says. In 2013, Bridgestone India entered the commercial tyre segment. In the passenger vehicle tyre space, the company claims to be among the top three players, for the segments they operate in.

Another potential business Satpute sees is selling tyres as a service. Bridgestone India is going further ahead and offering tyres as a service under which the Japanese tyre company does not sell tyres to fleets but takes over the responsibility of managing the tyres. "We take care of fitment, service and maintenance of tyres and charge per kilometre of the usage. This is an exciting business model with the companies which have good products. This business has started with advanced fleet companies in India, we see this business will grow rapidly in India."

Sustainability is at the core of Bridgestone India's business. It offers products that reduce fuel consumption and lower CO₂ emissions. On the manufacturing front, the company uses energy procured from eco-friendly resources for energy. At its Pune plant, the company installed 1 MW of solar capacity at its plant and is in the process of setting up of another 4 MW of capacity. The Indore plant in Kheda, in Madhya Pradesh in Central India, has 1 MW solar energy capacity that is being enhanced by another 1 MW capacity.

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While the tyre and rubber industries are experiencing one of their most dynamic periods thanks to North American integration, the retreading sector continues to face economic, cultural and market challenges in its efforts to regain momentum.

Few Latin American economies currently occupy as strategic a position within the global tyre industry as Mexico. The combination of manufacturing capacity, geographic proximity to United States and the advantages provided by the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) has consolidated the country as one of the leading tyre and rubber manufacturing hubs in the region.

In recent years, US trade policies directed at producers located outside North America have further strengthened this position. Investment relocation, nearshoring strategies and the need to secure regional supply chains have created particularly favourable conditions for Mexican industry.

The effects are visible throughout the value chain. Tyre manufacturers, rubber compound producers and raw material suppliers are operating at high activity levels, largely driven by demand from the US market. Industry stakeholders consistently point out that the current challenge is not finding customers but maintaining sufficient capacity to meet North American demand.

The rubber compound industry is perhaps one of the clearest examples of this trend. Benefiting from the regional trade environment, many companies are operating close to full capacity, supplying tyre manufacturers as well as other rubber-related industries. A similar situation can be observed among several retreading material suppliers, whose primary concern is not local demand but their ability to meet growing requirements from United States.

Yet, while manufacturing is experiencing a period of expansion, the retreading sector faces a very different reality.

The paradox is striking. In a country that markets more than 40 million tyres annually and possesses one of Latin America’s strongest industrial platforms, retreading has not been able to regain a sustained growth trajectory.

During his presentation at the Latin Tyre & Auto Parts Expo Panama 2025, Juan Carlos Hernández, then Commercial Manager of Hules Banda, presented figures that help illustrate the scale of the challenge. According to the data presented, Mexico marketed more than 40 million tyres during 2024, with an estimated potential of over five million tyres suitable for retreading. However, only around 960,000 units were actually retreaded, representing a retreading rate of approximately 18 percent.

The figures become even more revealing when analysing installed capacity utilisation. While tyre factories report average idle capacity levels close to 14 percent, retreading plants operate with approximately 70 percent idle capacity. Furthermore, during the first months of 2025, retread production showed a decline of nearly 9 percent compared to the previous year.

The reasons behind this situation appear to be less related to technical capabilities and more connected to the economic incentives currently shaping the market.

The growing presence of low-cost imported tyres has significantly transformed purchasing decisions across many fleets. According to Hernández’s presentation, nearly 40 percent of the radial truck tyre market consists of Asian products sold for less than USD 150 per unit. As a result, the economic gap between purchasing a low-cost new tyre and investing in a retread has narrowed considerably for many operators.

In this context, measures such as tariffs on selected imported products have so far failed to generate significant structural changes in market behaviour or retreading activity levels.

However, attributing the situation solely to pricing would be an oversimplification.

One of the most interesting observations highlighted by Hules Banda points to a less visible but potentially more significant long-term issue: the gradual loss of tyre management culture.

For decades, retreading formed part of a comprehensive asset management strategy, where tyres were managed throughout multiple life cycles in order to maximise cost per kilometre performance. Today, in many segments of the transport industry, that approach has increasingly been replaced by purchasing decisions focused primarily on immediate acquisition costs.

The result has been lower casing utilisation, fewer maintenance and monitoring programmes and increasing difficulty in demonstrating the long-term economic benefits that have historically supported the retreading business model.

Paradoxically, those segments that continue to manage tyres as strategic assets still demonstrate the relevance of retreading. Fleets operating premium and medium-tier tyres remain highly dependent on retreading to optimise operating costs, improve profitability and maximise asset utilisation.

CIRCULAR ECONOMY BEYOND END-OF-LIFE TYRES

Another issue deserving attention is the way the circular economy debate is currently evolving within Mexico’s tyre sector.

Much of the public and regulatory discussion focuses on end-of-life tyres (ELTs), collection systems, reverse logistics and recycling or recovery solutions once the product reaches the end of its useful life. By contrast, strategies aimed at extending product life through reuse often receive considerably less attention.

This is particularly relevant given that internationally recognised circular economy principles establish a hierarchy in which extending product life generally delivers greater environmental value than interventions applied after a product becomes waste.

From this perspective, retreading represents one of the most tangible examples of circularity within the tyre industry, as it preserves the economic, material and energy value embedded in the original casing for a longer period.

Mexico will undoubtedly remain one of the leading players in the North American tyre industry. The strength of its manufacturing sector appears well supported by regional integration, industrial investment and strong demand from United States.

The question that remains is whether the retreading sector will be able to become fully integrated into this growth story.

The industrial capacity exists. The technology is available. Premium market segments continue to require strategies focused on maximising cost per kilometre performance. The challenge appears to lie elsewhere: rebuilding tyre management culture and repositioning retreading as a strategic tool for competitiveness, efficiency and circular economy performance.

At a time when much of the discussion focuses on managing tyres at the end of their life, perhaps the more important question is how to ensure that life lasts longer in the first place.

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I can still vividly remember a journey I made in 1995 with my young Kenyan MD (who is no longer living) in a hired car from the Delhi Airport to some town close to Ludhiana to meet a tyre moulding machinery supplier. The travel was through vast expanses of paddy fields extending to miles, and in between, we could see large industrial sites far away. A clear sign of industry and agriculture co-existing synergistically. When passing the area called Kurukshetra, the driver mentioned that there was a war at this area a long time ago. He was obviously referring to the great war of the epic Mahabharata, a subject which still generates ample curiosity in me even at this advanced age. With growing years of maturity, I am more convinced that the great war symbolically and semantically depicts the inner conflicts going on in our own minds, while these are conventionally polarized as ‘black and white’ under the ‘all- or- nothing’ principle, and Kurukshetra represents our own hearts and intellect, commonly called the emotional brain and intellectual brain in today’s jargon. Equipped with my industry experience acquired for nearly six decades, I am tempted to make a rather feeble effort to understand what has changed in the managerial mind map over the past 50 odd years. It would be similar to finding parallels between the Vietnam War in the late sixties and current war going on in the Middle East, despite the common factor, US.

Quite in contrast to machinery and materials, the man component of the traditional 4Ms is the most confusing area despite the vast research that has been carried out over the years. It is said that the adult human brain consists of about 86 billion neurons, an astronomically high figure compared to memory capacity of the modern computers. Over the past few decades, the modern managerial mindset has undergone profound transformations. Managers today, particularly in the age group of 35 to 50 ( Gen X), operate in an astonishingly different scenario compared their counterparts 50 years ago. The two eras are fundamentally different and attempting to compare them is largely futile. The rapid changes, technologically, culturally, socially and psychologically, are so vast that today’s managers are shaped by globalisation, digitalisation and fierce competition, which has significantly altered their cognition, thinking patterns, values and behavioural approaches.

While most living managers of the older generation adopt a stance of lamenting about the ‘’good old times’, I think it would be more prudent to understand the realities of change. Management philosophies have undergone profound change, evolving from Taylor’s scientific management and Fayol’s top-down framework based on five key managerial functions to the humanistic approaches advanced by Carl Rogers and Maslow. This is the universal feature of impermanence of all conditioned phenomena (cause-effect related), discovered more than 2,600 years ago by Lord Buddha and some Greek and other Eastern philosophers. Endeavoring to maintain stability, in an ever-changing world scenario, has been the driver for the emergence of management concepts and theories, including the latest approaches seen in the contemporary modern world. Comparing modern managers with those from 50 years ago is unrealistic because of the complete change in the context. Earlier managers operated in stable and localised economies, while modern managers operate in a dynamic globalised environment. It is sometimes said that ‘when the President of the United Sates sneezes, the Eastern leaders catch a cold’, a fact amply demonstrated by the recent events.

Decision-making in the past was slow and experience-based, while today it is data driven, rapid and technologically assisted. Traditional management emphasised relationships, loyalty and progressive and gradual growth, while modern systems emphasise on performance metrics and quick results, like the instant coffee.

The growing corporate trends due to industrialisation over the past 30 years especially has witnessed increased focus on productivity, efficiency and outputs along with standardisation, which has made workers and managers becoming a part of a mechanised system. Modern corporate managerial thinking is also been heavily influenced by globalisation, due to exposure to international competition and the need to adapt to diverse cultures and markets and the pressures to meet global benchmarks and standards. The constrains and the stresses imposed on countries such as Sri Lanka is tough in these areas. A good example is the EUDR requirements, which initially was a nightmare to the rubber product manufacturing companies. A far more serious non-technical consequence is that the concept of a ‘global village’ is eroding values of the strong cultural and ethical foundation, leading to identity dilution among managers

During my association with the industry, particularly over the past 20 years, I have personally witnessed decline of the traditional values in the modern managerial mindset. This is also seen in some professional associations in which I have been a member for a long time. Some of the key trends noted are as follows:

a) Limited understanding and low priority given for religion, history and cultural heritage.

b) Reduced emphasis on ethics, empathy and social responsibility despite the fact that this has become a ‘catch word’ in most corporate circles.

c) Over reliance on technical knowledge and digital skills.

d) Decline in the respect for elders and their experience (crystallised knowledge)

e) Over confidence due to access to information, which brings forth a ‘know it all ‘stance.

f) Diminished openness to learn from others.

g) Difficulty in accepting criticism and feedback

While these tendencies directly affect workplace relationships, team cohesion and leadership effectives, the hidden or latent consequences have more deeper implications on personal and social wellbeing.

The Buddha in one of the discourses has observed that a person can victoriously face a battle against an army of elephants, horses, chariots and infantry by having the necessary resources, but it will be more difficult to win the war within due to mental conflicts.

Most business environments are characterised by aggressive target setting, continuous performance evaluations and competitive organisational cultures, which has caught the managers in a perpetual rat-race where success is narrowly defined by targets and profits while there is hardly any time for reflection or personal growth. This creates a certain emptiness and dissatisfaction even among the high achievers.

I find it interesting at this juncture to refer to the historic concept of Sigmond Freud (considered as the founder of Psychoanalysis), the structural components of the mind, namely Id (pleasure principle or gratification), Ego (reality principle) and the Super Ego (ethical and moral conscience). In order to minimise the negative impacts of the conflicts between them, the Ego resorts to defence mechanisms, or temporary coping solutions. Some of these are denial of the problem, repression of the feelings, projection of the blame to somewhere else and rationalisation or giving logical but false explanations. While these   are useful in the short term, over reliance can interfere with mental functioning and emotional growth. All of us are unconsciously resorting to one or several of these in times of emotional turmoil.

The pressures of modern management have led to an exponential growth in mental health challenges in recent years, which include common mental disorders such as stress, anxiety, burnout, depression and features associated with Borderline Personality traits (emotional instability and impulsivity), which result in work-life imbalance and chronic dissatisfaction.

Due to the high psychological demands, there is a growing need for career and workplace counselling. Counselling is a relatively new term that came into prominence around the mid-20th century, before which guidance and support was traditionally provided by the religious institutions, parents, teachers and the elders in the society. Over the recent years, counselling has evolved as a unique profession. Many organisations, especially the larger ones due to the seriousness and gravity of the problems they experience, have established counselling as a regular activity performed in-house or outsourced. Counselling helps managers to cope up with stress and expectations, supporting emotional regulation and resilience and enhancing self-awareness and interpersonal skills, which results in reconnecting purpose and meaning and balancing professional and personal life to develop a healthier mind set. The modern managers must endeavour to have a balanced mind set which is an integrated mix of technical competence, human values, cultural awareness and emotional intelligence and wellbeing. Only then they can move beyond being mere ‘cogs in a wheel’ and become holistic, effective and ethical leaders in the modern world

It is somewhat ironic that Human Resource Sustainability is not named as a single standalone goal in the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) but covered under several headings such as Good Health and Wellbeing, Quality Education, Gender Equality, Decent Work, Economic Growth and Reduced Inequalities.

While I do not have firsthand information on how human resource counselling is caried out in other countries, my observations and experience in Sri Lanka is that it is done more in a fire fighting or reactive mode, where corrective and remedial measures are taken only in cases of psychological deviances. It is somewhat surprising because Sri Lanka is famous for its preventative public health care in pre and postnatal maternity health and school dental health. Industry safety and health is fairly well addressed in most large, medium and some small enterprises, although these are mainly covering the operational levels. Currently, several standard stress, anxiety and depression measuring scales, both qualitative and quantitative, are available, but they do not seem to be used proactively to detect the cinders underneath the ash. People in emotional distress invariably need to vent their thought and emotions, which causes several cognitive distortions and mental disorders. Active and empathetic listening plays the major role in a therapeutic counselling relationship

Coming back to the Mahabharata, the classic instance of counselling for a person in deep emotional conflict and inner war is the Bhagwat Gita, and all of us will need Lord Krishnas in different disguises at some stages in our lifetimes.

It is interesting how Buddha has adopted an integrative approach to the four aspects or components of wellbeing for human progress as:

• Physical wellbeing
• Mental wellbeing
• Social wellbeing
• Spiritual wellbeing

The author is a Management Counsellor from Sri Lanka. 

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At the end of my career, I am at the return-on-investment stage, giving back my mentors’ investments in me for all those years ago, and even not so long ago.

Training to me is setting the standards that you wish your trainees to achieve. All those mistakes you learned the hard way, the tricks of the trade, the missteps can all be related to those who’ve chosen our industry. Help them understand how to learn.

The standard for training has to be set very high; no use having a low bar and then complaining that no one knows what they are doing. If you jump for the stars but don’t quite make it, then at least you’ve cleared the tree tops.

When setting training qualifications, the quality of the parameters of the applied learnings has to be not only high but sound. The written materials have to be water tight, the methodology without flaw and the evidence of successful learnings not just a tick and flick exercise. The candidates undertaking the training have to be assessed and then critically deemed competent.

One could be forgiven for not wanting to get on a commercial aircraft if the pilot had ‘purchased’ the qualification instead of working for years towards it; likewise, think about a surgeon operating. The methodology and learning materials have to be sound and qualified.

Bureaucrats often outline training without any real knowledge of what the industry involves. Sure, there are governmental outlines as to what has to appear and how it must appear, but does this really meet the requirements of industry? Few industries are so alike that the same template of learnings can be applied, but for the sake of being able to tick the boxes and say, ‘Yes Minister’, we have standardised learnings regardless of the actual industry requirements.

Safety is the paramount learning. There is no return on investment if the training candidate is injured or maimed and cannot actually perform the work they were trained in. There are only poor outcomes for all involved, from the employer to the family; the provided training must embed safety as a paramount requirement.

I acknowledge the human failings whereby, even with all safety systems engaged, poor judgements and flawed decision-making can lead to inauspicious outcomes. Humans are fallible creatures, and that is what makes us different from machines.

When engaged in a training process, all the ‘what ifs’ have to be considered. In the early days of my education in computing using pencils and card readers, I soon learned the base rule of garbage in equals garbage out, or GIGO. After numerous hours of hairpulling, a comma was identified as the error; it should have been a full stop. There were no error messages generated, no one looking over my shoulder assisting; I blundered on until I stumbled over the fact that I had screwed up. The outcome was negligible, just some lost time. For others in our industry, a mistake may mean the end of their career, loss of amenity and even loss of their life. Do we permit such ‘what ifs’ to be ignored in training?

In the early days of tyre service personnel training, I’d commence the session by telling the candidates ‘never use your first chance, you may not get a second’, then run a series of videos showing catastrophic tyre failures, some simple others disturbing, but the message was clear. There is a process that has to be followed; do not take short cuts and do not deviate without understanding the risks involved deeply and clearly.

In preparing training materials, the risks (regardless of industry) have to be clearly understood; there is no tolerance for a lack of risk assessment and associated mitigation. If a poor standard of materials is presented to newbies to the industry, how are they equipped to identify the flaws that could propagate the catastrophic outcomes we all seek to avoid?

Training is not unlike the manufacturing of a tyre. The materials involved in the construction have to be of sound quality; the processes used in the matrix of the materials to produce the end result we know as a tyre have to be exacting. Anything less and the end product is a blemish or down grade.

Is this what we desire in the personnel we train?

Tyre servicing is one of the most hazardous occupations that is not licensed. Electricians, medical workers, lawyers, all require strict licensing. Yet the personnel that manipulate large tyres that have destructive burst forces that can, and do, result in fatal injuries may not even be required to demonstrate their competency in the aspects of the duties they may encounter.

Tyres are ubiquitous in our societies; just as we observe with the current petroleum shocks, the loss of tyres would be just as disruptive to our modern way of life. We can live without social media (as much as the squeals I hear saying NOOOOO), but can we live without tyres? From the paddock to the plate, tyres are part and parcel of the product. Look around you right now and think about what didn’t arrive in your sight as a result of tyres’ involvement. I doubt if there is anything you see that didn’t arrive to you on tyres.

So why do we not engage with serious education not only for the personnel operating in the tyre industry but also the general public?

I read of tyre recycling efforts, yet most people will only identify with plastics as a recycling target. This whilst listening to a streaming service sitting on public transport running on transport that requires tyres to operate. Tyres are forgotten; everyone ASSuMEs[sic] that the tyre does its job without any thought given to the personnel that ensure our daily safety and food.

Tyres deserve better recognition of the service they provide to our societies. The personnel that service our tyres also deserve the highest level of training that can be provided, not just learn on the job with the potential of not being able to return home in the same condition as they arrived at work.

Training packages must be water tight; anything less will only result in the submersion of the outcomes below the standard that is safe. Training is an investment in the future; to those who invested in me in my younger days, I say THANK YOU! You did well in that I have made it to the later stages of my life intact and am still able to function. Your mentorship is remembered and honoured.

I take this opportunity to remember John Powath, the founder of this masthead. His standards and leadership have created opportunities for our industry to achieve a global recognition of excellence.

Training is the foundation of our industrial and societal processes. Do not scrimp on the materials presented and do not underestimate the risks involved regardless of how trivial they may seem.

Take care, stay safe and invest in your future by offering the highest quality training you can possibly deliver. Your life may depend upon it.”

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The effects of the Strait of Hormuz closure will become particularly evident in 2026 and undoubtedly represent a strategic bottleneck for global energy and petrochemical trade. The Gulf War disrupted raw material supplies, crippled logistics and destabilised key export markets.

While the war represents a financial catastrophe, it also presents new opportunities. It has driven up raw material costs, while the logistics crisis has impacted export markets. The financial consequences include shrinking margins and reduced demand. However, long-term strategic shifts are expected, and these trends are likely to accelerate by 2040.

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the disruptions in the Red Sea have brought maritime traffic to the Middle East and Europe to a near standstill. The war has caused logistical chaos, and exports face immediate difficulties. China alone was expected to export more than seven million tyres to the Middle East by 2025, but this vital trade route is now blocked by skyrocketing freight rates and insurance premiums.

The profitability of the sector, whose gross margins are expected to fall to slightly more than four times their pre-war levels, is likely to be impacted by market consolidation and rising demand for high-tech tyres, particularly for electric vehicles. In the short to long term, the costs of raw materials such as synthetic rubber, carbon black and logistics are expected to rise significantly. Furthermore, this crisis could spur massive investments in bio-based and recycled materials to reduce dependence on petroleum. To address supply bottlenecks, the sharp decline in exports from the Middle East, coupled with significantly increased transportation costs, should be offset by regionalised production, for example, in India and Southeast Asia. With regard to product development, the short-term priority of cost control should lead to an acceleration of research and development into sustainable rubber compounds and sensorless smart tyres.

The end of the Gulf War is likely to usher in a period of weak economic growth and high inflation. The tyre industry is already facing a profound restructuring process. In the post-war era, the focus is not only on repairing the damage but, above all, on accelerating the long-term transition to regionalised supply chains, a circular economy and value creation through technology.

The most immediate consequence of war is a drastic increase in raw material costs,

which can account for almost 70 percent of tyre production costs. Around 45 percent of the raw materials used in the tyre industry are petroleum-based, and another 45 percent are natural rubber. In the case of synthetic rubber (NBR/SBR), the direct rise in oil prices leads to a price increase for butadiene, a key raw material. In the US, NBR prices rose by 7.4 percent at the beginning of March 2026; in China, butadiene prices jumped by 25 percent within a week.

Analysts estimate that this conflict could reduce global natural rubber production by 36 to 45 kilotonnes in the first half of 2026. How can this be explained, given that the effects on natural rubber are indirect? Diesel shortages prevent trucks from collecting rubber from plantations, thus reducing supply on the market. This shortage is contributing to the energy crisis in Southeast Asia. Prices for carbon black and chemicals derived from oil and gas are also rising in line with increasing energy costs. The supply of speciality chemicals (such as bromine from Israel) is also at risk.

Bio-based materials, particularly long-term ESG pilot projects, represent an immediate strategic necessity. The market for bio-based materials is projected to reach USD 337 million by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 101 percent, thus replacing volatile petrochemical feedstocks. Similarly, it is becoming increasingly clear that tyre pressure monitoring systems (TPMS) and sensorless, AI-powered systems like Michelin SmartWear can reduce costs and enhance safety.

Rising energy prices and crumbling infrastructure will weigh on consumption and investment. Inflation is high and is expected to remain high (around four percent for the G20 in 2026). Even after the war, energy costs and the rebuilding of supply chains will keep prices high. Consequently, the post-war economic recovery is expected to be slow and uneven, without a V-shaped rebound. The war has left lasting scars on global supply chains and public finances. Global GDP growth is weaker and below the pre-pandemic average.

In the field of carbon black recycling, carbon black is developing into a strategic raw material. Recycled carbon black (rCB) and tyre pyrolysis oil are becoming strategic raw materials intended to replace unstable fossil fuels. Massive investments, such as in Lummus-InnoVent, a continuous pyrolysis technology, will increase rCB production and reach a market of USD 15.6 billion by 2034.

Sustainable and bio-based materials are of great strategic importance, and significant investments are already being made to increase their production. Rising oil prices are making bio-based alternatives economically viable and essential for security of supply. Therefore, the transition to sustainable materials is no longer just an ESG goal but a necessity for the entire supply chain.

The Gulf War acted as a powerful catalyst, transforming promising future trends into immediate and essential investments. Bio-based silanes, for example, are now being used more and more frequently. Momentive’s NXT P97, a next-generation silane for electric vehicle tyres with 79 percent bio-based carbon, reduces reliance on fossil fuels while improving rolling resistance and durability. This technology, a prime example, is currently being deployed on a large scale.

Tyre prices will remain high. The recovery will therefore be characterised more by rapid strategic development than by a simple return to pre-war levels. It is not so much the fluctuating demand from car manufacturers, but rather the replacement tyre market, which alone accounts for 70 percent of the volume, that is likely to continue to strongly support the consumer goods and logistics sectors during the economic recovery.

Increasing uncertainty is becoming the new normal. Geopolitical risks remain a key concern, forcing companies to prioritise resilience over efficiency. This situation is creating unequal competitive conditions for tyre manufacturers and their core markets. The difficulties faced by energy-importing countries in Europe and Asia will be further exacerbated in this climate of uncertainty.

This crisis will be one of the main reasons for the relocation of production to key markets, forcing the tyre industry to make unavoidable investments. It will be compelled to implement the technologies necessary for a more resilient, sustainable and technologically advanced future. New production centres will be established to circumvent geopolitical obstacles. This new dynamic is characterised by a clear strategic realignment of production and supply chains, accelerating ‘out-of-China’ models and leading to regionalisation. This conflict is not merely a disruption but a form of brutality for economically weaker countries, even if it represents a highly effective response to the relocation of production areas.

This war teaches us that excessive dependence on unstable regions like the Middle East must be balanced by the need for market diversification. Exporters like China and India will increasingly focus on Africa, Latin America and Southeast Asia. Margins will remain under pressure in the short term. High raw material and energy costs will not fall immediately. Large global companies will gain market share by leveraging their size and technology, as well as through increased regionalisation. Conversely, smaller, less diversified companies risk being acquired or exiting the market. Companies with strong pricing power and high operational efficiency will recover faster than those that rely solely on low prices.

The tyre industry is facing profound change. The tyre market is being restructured, and local, sales-oriented production is being intensified to circumvent geopolitical barriers and tariffs. In the short term, demand is expected to recover, but profit margins will be severely impacted by persistently high costs. In the long term, the sector will become more regionally focused, evolve towards a circular economy and rely more heavily on technology. In short, the end of the war will not restore the pre-conflict status quo. The crisis has forced a difficult but necessary transition to sustainable and resilient business models that will shape the key trends through 2040. 

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