Srikumar Krishnamurthy, Senior Vice-President and Co-Group Head, Corporate Ratings at ICRA

India’s tyre sector is moving into a steadier phase after cyclical tailwinds from GST-led formalisation and rural demand. Srikumar Krishnamurthy, Senior Vice-President and Co-Group Head, Corporate Ratings at ICRA, says replacement demand will continue to anchor growth in FY2027 even as original-equipment volumes soften. Premiumisation is lifting tyre makers’ realisations, though input volatility and competition cap pricing power. Export prospects are improving with new trade agreements, but regulatory risks and cost pressures persist as companies balance capex with discipline.

ICRA expects the Indian automotive sector’s wholesale growth to normalise in FY2027. How does this moderation in vehicle volumes translate into tyre demand across OEM and replacement channels?

The normalisation of wholesale volume growth in FY2027 follows a period of elevated growth in the second half of FY2026, which was driven largely by post-GST reform-led factors and favourable rural demand sentiments. The moderation in wholesale volume growth will consequently translate to a similar growth in OE segment. The aftermarket segment, however, will follow the inherent replacement cycle of different sub-segments and other fundamental factors.

Replacement demand currently anchors tyre industry growth. What level of growth do you expect in this segment going forward?

The replacement segment saw a robust growth in the last 4–5 months supported by the post effects of GST rate cuts and healthy rural demand following good monsoons and crop output. The current sentiments are favourable, with factors around economic activities, freight rate movement and farm output reflecting optimistic picture. The segment is likely to outperform the OE segment in FY2027 supported by inherent factors like replacement cycle, safety awareness and regulatory forces.

Premiumisation is evident in vehicles and tyres alike. How is the shift towards larger rim sizes, radialisation and higher-value products shaping revenue growth versus volume growth in FY2026–27?

A change in product mix has been observed in recent times. Rising preference for utility vehicles, premium bikes and electric vehicles have resulted in changes to the average selling price (ASP) of tyre makers. While these elongates the product replacement cycle over time, higher share of sales of large rim sizes and high-performance tyres results in premium pricing and value growth. That said, pricing pressure because of competition and movement in input prices restricts the premium to an extent, in certain segments.

What impact do you expect from the evolving trade agreements between India and United States, along with the proposed India-EU free trade deal, on tariffs for tyres produced and exported from India?

US and Germany are the top-two destinations for Indian tyre exports. Overall, tyre export volumes grew by around 10 percent in FY2025 and around eight percent in H1 FY2026. The recent signing of India-UK and India-EU deals is a positive as Indian tyres are increasingly getting exported to these regions in recent period, reflecting better acceptance. While the developments on India-US tariff-related aspects are a positive, stability in tariff reforms will be critical towards better visibility of exports.

With exporters pivoting towards Europe, Africa and Latin America, what competitive or regulatory barriers might Indian tyre makers face in these markets over the next 12–18 months?

The prospects of Indian exporters remain vulnerable to the regulatory actions and competitive forces. The US tariff-related developments have made tyre makers in

South-East Asia and China more competitive (as compared to India), although the changes in tariff rates is a positive development for Indian exporters. While a depreciating rupee was beneficial, the recent capping of RodTEP benefits is a negative impacting the competitiveness of Indian tyre makers.

Natural rubber prices have remained elevated and volatile. How do you expect raw-material cost trends to evolve in FY2027, and what does this imply for tyre company margins and pricing power?

Rubber prices largely track the demand-supply factors. The prices have largely been volatile in recent years and were affected by a relatively subdued consumption globally. While the supply will remain influenced by weather and other related factors, the global tyre demand is likely to be relatively better, thus keeping the prices firmer in the coming year.

Beyond rubber, inputs such as carbon black and crude-linked derivatives are cyclical as well. Are tyre manufacturers adequately positioned to manage input volatility through sourcing strategies or pass-through mechanisms?

To protect the margins, tyre makers have resorted to better production planning, maintaining optimal inventory and altering the sourcing strategies. That said, the earnings profile of tyre makers remains exposed to any sharp volatilities in input prices, especially replacements.

Industry capex has remained steady, focused on radial capacity and premium segments. Do you foresee a new investment cycle in FY2027–28, or will companies prioritise balance-sheet discipline amid demand normalisation?

The industry’s capex spends are estimated at 8–10 percent of revenues with sizeable investments towards expansions in passenger vehicles and trucks and bus tyres, along with continued focus on debottlenecking, maintenance and R&D activities.

Looking beyond demand and costs, what are the most significant structural challenges facing the Indian tyre sector over the next three to five years – technology shifts, sustainability mandates or global competition?

Multiple trends are emerging in the auto industry, like vehicle premiumisation, changing powertrain mix, fluctuation in adoption of EVs across different product segments etc. In this backdrop, and coupled with global geo-political uncertainties and climate changes, tyre makers face challenges around business strategies. Strengthening technological capabilities, investments in premium performance tyres, enhanced usage of AI for operations, streamlining supply chain activities and diversification are the likely key focus areas for Indian tyre makers.

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Nokian Tyres has appointed Glenn Arbaugh as the new Head of Research and Development for North America, marking a strategic move to strengthen product innovation for drivers in the United States and Canada. He will lead the region’s R&D efforts from the company’s manufacturing and research hub in Dayton, Tennessee.

Bringing nearly 35 years of global tyre industry experience in technical leadership, product engineering and design, Arbaugh will oversee next-generation tyre development while enhancing product quality and manufacturing standards at the Dayton Factory. His role supports close collaboration between the North American R&D team and Nokian’s global research operations in Finland.

Since opening in 2019, the Dayton Factory has dedicated all production to the North American market and earned recognition as the first tire plant worldwide to achieve LEED v4 Silver certification. Nokian Tyres, inventor of the winter tyre, continues to offer premium all-season, all-weather and light truck tyres across the region.

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Bridgestone has announced executive leadership changes for its West region (Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa), effective 1 May 2026. Scott Damon continues as West CEO, Robert Johnson has been appointed Group President of North America and Wade Sempkowski succeeds Johnson as West Chief Financial Officer.

The company is decoupling the roles of West CEO and Group President of North America to provide clearer scope and focus for its business goals. In his new position, Johnson will assume leadership of North America Core Tire and hold end-to-end ownership and accountability for the full North America profit and loss.

Johnson joined Bridgestone in 2016 as Executive Director of Finance for Bridgestone Retail Operations and later became Vice President of Finance for the Americas Tire Group and Vice President of Stores for Bridgestone Retail Operations. He was named West CFO in May 2024. Before Bridgestone, he held senior finance and operations roles at Advance Auto Parts, Best Buy and Lifepoint Health, earning a finance degree from Belmont University and an MBA from the University of St. Thomas.

Wade Sempkowski

Sempkowski started at Bridgestone Americas in 2019 as Director of FP&A, later becoming Vice President of Finance in 2022 while also serving on the TireHub Board of Directors. His prior experience includes sales analytics and finance roles at Mars Petcare and Southern Land Company, and he holds a bachelor’s degree from the University of Tennessee and an MBA from Vanderbilt University.

Scott Damon, Bridgestone West CEO, said, “Robert and Wade are experienced leaders with a strong understanding of our business, our customers and the priorities ahead. Robert brings a powerful combination of financial, operational and customer-facing leadership to the North America region, and Wade brings deep finance expertise to the West CFO role.”

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Japanese tyre and rubber major Yokohama Rubber Co, has announced plans to construct two new manufacturing facilities for mining and construction machinery tyres in India and Mexico.

These plants will facilitate the transfer of off-the-road (OTR) tyre production acquired from The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company in February 2025. The company also intends to install equipment at these sites to increase production capacity for ultra-large OTR tyres.

Yokohama Rubber will build a greenfield plant in Odisha, India, representing a capital investment of USD130 million. The facility is designed for an annual production capacity of 9,150 tonnes. Construction is set to commence in Q3 of CY2026, with production expected to start by Q3 of CY2028. This site will assume production currently outsourced to Goodyear facilities in Europe and the United States.

A new brownfield plant will be established in Mexico as a Phase 2 expansion of an existing passenger car tyre plant site. This facility will require a capital expenditure of USD 115 million and will have an annual capacity of 10,650 tonnes. Construction is scheduled for Q3 of CY2026, and production is planned to begin in Q2 of CY2028.

The company is also transferring OTR tyre production from Goodyear plants to a site in Romania acquired in May 2025, as well as to existing factories in Japan, the Czech Republic, and India.

These investments are central to the ‘Yokohama Transformation 2026’ (YX2026) management plan, which aims for significant growth through strategic acquisitions and production network enhancements. By expanding its capacity across all off-highway tyre (OHT) categories, Yokohama Rubber seeks to improve its global market position and corporate value.

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CAMSO Construction has announced the appointment of Andreas Lüllau as Area Sales Manager for the DACH region. His career in industrial and construction tyres began in 2007 at Industriereifen Kontor Lüdtke, where he developed extensive industry experience. The company stated that his strong background adds valuable expertise and a solid understanding of the DACH market. CAMSO Construction looks forward to his contributions in strengthening the company’s regional presence and partnerships.

The company statement read: “His career in industrial and construction tires began in 2007 at Industriereifen Kontor Lüdtke, and since then, he has built extensive experience across the industry. This strong background adds valuable depth to the expertise he brings to the team, along with a solid understanding of the DACH region. We look forward to the contribution he will make in strengthening our presence and partnerships in the market. Welcome to CAMSO Construction, Andreas!”

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