India’s tyre industry is bracing for a tough fiscal year, weighed down by sluggish demand, volatile raw material prices and muted export growth. Revenue is forecast to expand just 7-8 percent – supported by modest price hikes and a marginal rise in volumes – marking a second straight year of single-digit growth. However, operating margins are set to contract sharply as natural rubber prices remain elevated despite recent moderation. In a wide-ranging discussion, Anuj Sethi, Senior Director at CRISIL Ratings, unpacks the factors shaping the sector, from price pressures and replacement demand to global headwinds and evolving trade dynamics.

How would you characterise the current fiscal year for the Indian tyre industry, considering its challenges and opportunities?

With volume expected to grow just by about 3-4 percent due to sluggish demand, overall revenue growth will remain in single digit for the second straight year, this fiscal. On the other hand, high raw material prices, especially of natural rubber, rose sharply over the past 12 months and have only recently begun to moderate. To a moderate extent, tyre manufacturers are increasing tyre prices in the replacement market to offset the impact of higher input prices, albeit operating profitability will still be impacted this fiscal.

The report mentions 7-8 percent revenue growth this fiscal year, supported by a 3-4 percent increase in realisations and volume. What specific factors could push growth beyond this forecast, and what risks might undercut it?

While realisation growth due to price hikes being undertaken by tyre manufacturers is a certain given sharp increase in natural rubber prices, higher than projected volume growth could take the growth higher than expected. With about 2/3rd of the domestic demand

coming from replacement segment, and it being the primary volume driver, any significant decline in that demand can impact the growth forecast other way.

Given that replacement demand is the primary volume driver, how do you assess the longevity of this demand surge in the context of evolving consumer preferences and vehicle usage patterns?

The replacement demand is expected to sustain over the medium term driven by the strong automotive sales achieved in previous fiscals.

With operating profitability projected to drop 300 basis points, what contingency measures are tyre makers considering beyond gradual price increases to mitigate this impact?

The price of natural rubber, which constitutes about half of the raw materials, continued to surge sharply in the first half of fiscal 2025. However, ability to pass on this increase is limited due to modest volume growth. Small price hikes and continued focus at improving operating efficiencies on an ongoing basis is another way to offset the impact to some extent.

Natural rubber prices have been highly volatile, reaching record highs and then falling to around INR 170 per kg. What is your outlook for natural rubber prices in the near to medium term, and what factors will likely influence their movement?

The sharp rise in natural rubber prices is due to a global shortage caused by inclement weather in major producing countries such as Thailand and Vietnam, which account for about half of the global production. Going forward, increase in supply with improving hectarage and slowdown in global economies is likely to drive correction in international rubber prices. In the last couple of months, some moderation in natural rubber prices has happened.

China has a surplus in crude oil-derived raw materials, including carbon black and other chemicals. Do you anticipate this surplus impacting global prices for these commodities, and how might Indian tyre makers benefit or face challenges as a result?

Share of natural rubber in tyre manufacturing is 47 percent, while carbon black accounts for ~20-22 percent. Should carbon black prices remain under control, it will benefit domestic tyre manufacturers.

Export growth is expected to remain muted at 2-3 percent. How does the current geopolitical climate, including sanctions or trade restrictions, further complicate Indian tyre makers’ access to markets in North America and Europe?

Export growth is expected to remain sluggish due to challenging business conditions in US and Europe. However, certain segments like off-the-road tyres are beginning to see better prospects as stocks with dealers are moderating. This could help players with presence in the off-the road- tyre segment.

Exports to key markets such as North America and Europe are under pressure due to economic challenges and unviable operating costs, leading to plant shutdowns in regions like US, Europe and Israel. Is the Indian tyre industry at risk of facing similar challenges, or does it have structural advantages that mitigate these risks?

Indian players are better placed compared to some of the western peers due to comparatively lower cost of operations, though operating profitability has come under pressure this fiscal because of higher imported rubber prices. Also, Indian players have flexibility to supply in small batch sizes unlike Chinese peers, and hence this also works to their advantage, more prominently in higher margin segments such as off-the road tyres.

Have tyre makers explored new international markets or alternative trade routes to counter supply chain disruptions and higher freight costs?

Not really; to circumvent the difficult environment around the Suez Canal, vessels are going around the Cape of Good Hope, adding 2-3 weeks and additional freight cost on exports. Some of the costs are being shared with the customers.

The report references Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) regulations. How significant is the financial and operational burden of compliance for tyre makers, and what progress has been made in addressing this?

Adoption of EPR regulations is not expected to have a very sizeable impact on profitability, though it will lead to investments in strengthening processes and in technology.

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Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company has appointed Jerome Rouquet as Chief Financial Officer, effective 1 December  2026, as the US tyre maker seeks to improve operational performance and maintain financial discipline.

Rouquet will report to Chief Executive Mark Stewart and join the company’s senior leadership team. He currently serves as CFO of Visteon Corporation, where he oversees global financial activities.

Before joining Visteon in 2020, Rouquet held senior finance positions at Tenneco and Federal-Mogul. At Federal-Mogul, he served as CFO, chief accounting officer and controller.

"This is an important addition to our leadership team," said Stewart. "Jerome combines deep financial expertise with a proven ability to help organizations improve performance and navigate transformation. As we continue building momentum and executing our long-term strategy, his leadership and experience will help position Goodyear for success."

Rouquet’s experience spans financial strategy, operational performance, investor relations and public-company finance. His appointment supports Goodyear’s focus on operational improvement, financial discipline and capital allocation to increase shareholder value.

He holds a Master of Business and Management from Institut Supérieur de Gestion in Paris and completed the International Business Management Program at the Manhattan Institute of Management in New York.

Scott Deakin, who has served as interim CFO, will remain in the role until Rouquet joins the company and will support the transition.

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Dunlop Tires North America (DTNA), a Sumitomo Rubber Industries, Ltd. subsidiary, has appointed Robert Liu as Assistant Vice President of Product Management. Liu brings more than three decades of varied experience in the tyre and automotive sectors to guide the Dunlop and Falken brands through their next stage of product innovation and expansion.

Liu started his career as a simulation engineer at General Motors before spending 27 years at Continental Tire, where he held positions in Product R&D, Sales and Product Management. He also completed a five-year expatriate assignment in Shanghai, leading Product Management and R&D for Asia-Pacific, and most recently directed R&D for the American region with a focus on replacement Passenger Light Truck tyres. In his new role, Liu will lead product development, overseeing PLT and Truck & Bus Radial products with a skilled Product Management team.

Ken Hsu, Vice President – Marketing, DTNA, said, “We are excited to welcome Robert to our team. His extensive experience and proven leadership in the tyre industry align perfectly with our goals for innovation and growth. We believe his insights will greatly benefit our product strategies as we move forward.”

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Portugal’s retreading industry is caught between its established technical capabilities and a market increasingly shaped by low-cost new tyres, regulatory shifts and price-driven purchasing. Associaçao de Recauchutagem de Pneus (ARP) President David Laureano speaks to Tyre Trends about the necessary changes, current state of the industry and how to rebuild confidence and create conditions for investment.

Are policy changes necessary to create a level playing field for retreaders?

I consider policy changes a priority for boosting Portugal’s retreading sector and plan work on four fronts. The first is to review the environmental and economic treatment of retreading so that charges and incentives acknowledge the extension of tyre service life.

The second is to strengthen enforcement of compliance obligations for all operators placing tyres on the market. The third is to introduce criteria regarding lifecycle costs, performance and circularity in public procurement, enabling the participation of technically suitable retreaded solutions.

The last is to facilitate company access to instruments for industrial modernisation, energy efficiency, training and innovation. These measures should be developed in collaboration with public entities and other sector stakeholders. Policy quality improves when those who manufacture, use and manage tyres participate in their formulation.

What are the ARP’s priorities under your leadership?

My priority is to strengthen a unified voice for the sector while respecting the diversity of the companies that comprise it. Building trust among users by demonstrating the quality of domestic retreaders. I want to contribute to an association that stays close to its members and is capable of gathering reliable data, fostering knowledge sharing and presenting well-founded proposals to public authorities.

I also view it as essential to bring the fleet industry, educational institutions and technology partners closer together. We can collaborate on training, research and the dissemination of best practices, thereby strengthening the sector’s collective capacity. The change I would like to see in the market is a more informed purchasing decision, one that recognises tyre performance and the value of extending its service life.

What role can retreading play in reducing raw material consumption and waste?

Retreading preserves a significant portion of the tyre structure by utilising a technically sound casing and enables a new cycle of use. This reduces the need for materials required to manufacture an entirely new structure and postpones the casing’s end-of-life.

Realising this potential requires effective management across the entire value chain including initial selection, maintenance, timely tyre removal and casing inspection. Benefits must be measured rigorously. Savings depend on the tyre type, process and usage conditions; therefore, we must communicate substantiated results rather than applying a single percentage figure to every situation.

What hinders greater acceptance by fleets and consumers?

Doubts regarding quality and safety persist, alongside insufficient information about the industrial process. The perception of poor quality was already among the obstacles identified in the sector characterisation study conducted by Valorpneu in 2019. Trust is built through transparency that requires explaining casing selection, production controls, traceability and the tyre’s suitability for its intended use.

There are specific United Nations regulations for retreading, namely Regulations No. 108 and No. 109. Under these regulations, all operators are required to conduct tests on the tyres they produce, and the tests are identical to those performed on new tyres. The sector also needs to make results more visible through fleet monitoring and comparable usage data.

We cannot focus solely on sales as after-sales service is crucial for building trust and ensuring continuity with the end customer, whether they are transport companies or private individuals.

How can retreading be better integrated into circular economy and sustainability policies?

Retreading should be considered right from the initial tyre selection. This entails prioritising casings designed for extended use, ensuring proper maintenance and establishing systems to evaluate their utilisation. Valorpneu specifically identifies extending service life, the potential for reconstruction and the segregation of tyres with retreading potential as preventive measures.

We would like to see this logic translated into specific objectives and indicators such as how many casings are utilised, how many usage cycles are achieved and how much resources are preserved. These results would help guide incentives and purchasing decisions.

What is the current state of the tyre retreading industry in Portugal?

Portugal possesses a retreading industry with experience, technical expertise and close ties to its customers. Its presence is particularly significant in the heavy-vehicle tyre market. However, it is a sector that needs to strengthen its position.

Commercial pressure challenges companies to demonstrate the product’s value over its lifespan, particularly in a market where the purchase price is a decisive factor. Our ambition is to unite the sector to transform existing industrial capacity into a stronger market presence driven by quality, information and constructive institutional representation.

What is the impact of low-cost imported tyres on retreaders?

Pressure from low-cost tyres is a key concern, one that has also been highlighted in ARP’s public communications. When the decision focuses solely on the initial price, it becomes harder to highlight the value of durability, technical support and the potential to reuse the casing for further service cycles.

Geographic origin alone does not determine a tyre’s quality. We advocate for competition based on verifiable criteria regarding safety, performance, compliance with environmental obligations and lifecycle costs. There is also the issue of continuity as retreading relies on the availability of suitable casings. Therefore, the choice of a new tyre should also take into account its retreadability potential.

Which segments show the highest demand?

Heavy vehicles form the sector’s core base. Road freight transport is therefore a central market, and we see opportunities to strengthen our presence among passenger transport and service fleets, tailored to the specific demands of each operation. There are also specialised applications.

Retreading data for 2024 covers commercial, agricultural, industrial and civil engineering tyres, among other categories. While these figures characterise the activity, they should not be confused with domestic market demand shares. Our goal is to work with each segment to identify where retreading offers a technically sound and economically advantageous solution.

How do regulatory uncertainty and capacity expansion affect investment?

An industrial facility invests with a multi-year horizon. Equipment, training and process improvements require confidence in future operating conditions. When rules or charges change, projects tend to be re-evaluated, complicating investment and expansion decisions.

A concrete example of a shift in the economic landscape is the Ecovalor (environmental fee). In 2025, the Valorpneu schedule indicated a zero Ecovalor for domestically retreaded tyres placed on the market. In 2026, it introduced a specific schedule with a 10 percent bonus, and for the heavy-duty category, the indicated rate is EUR 8.07 per tyre, plus VAT.

We believe that changes of this nature must be accompanied by dialogue with the sector, an assessment of their impact and predictability. Companies need to understand how their environmental contribution will be valued before committing to new investments.

How important is the total cost of ownership regarding demand?

It is fundamental. For a fleet, the purchase price is just one part of the equation. The assessment must include mileage, fuel consumption, maintenance, downtime and casing utilisation. Comparisons must be made under similar conditions regarding load, route, axle position and usage.

Retreading must demonstrate its value in this context through concrete results. I would like to see more long-term relationships between fleets and retreaders with records that allow for tracking cost-per-kilometre and improving decision-making over time. This benefits both parties.

Should retreading be recognised as a strategic industrial and environmental activity?

Yes. That is the vision I want to help affirm. It is an activity that brings together industrial production, technical expertise, transport services and resource preservation. This recognition must be reflected in industrial policies, investment instruments and purchasing decisions.

It must also be accompanied by the sector’s own commitment to quality, innovation and demonstrating its results. ARP aims to contribute to this effort alongside companies, fleets and public entities. We share a common interest in maintaining an industry capable of generating value in Portugal and making better use of the resources on which we all depend.

What is the outlook for the next three to five years?

I see growth potential, but that growth will depend on the conditions we are able to create. Increased fleet focus on operating costs, the need for efficient resource utilisation and industrial modernisation could create opportunities. To capitalise on them, we need suitable casings, customer trust and economic stability.

I would not venture a specific growth rate without a sufficiently solid statistical basis. Ambition must translate into concrete objectives by winning over users, increasing casing utilisation and strengthening corporate competitiveness.

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India’s tyre recycling industry discussed regulation, technology and material recovery at RE-GO 2026, a three-day conclave held in South Goa from 10 to 12 September. Organised by the Tyre & Rubber Recyclers Association of India (TRRAI), the event brought together more than 250 delegates, representatives from more than 200 companies and participants from more than 20 states.

The third annual conclave, hosted at Novotel Goa Dona Sylvia, included more than 20 speakers and experts, three panel discussions and more than 20 exhibitors and sponsors. The conference programme ran on 10 and 11 September , followed by a departure programme on September 12.

Regulation and technology dominate discussions

Held under the theme of policy, compliance and circularity, the conclave brought together recyclers, technology providers, tyre industry representatives, policymakers, regulators, standards professionals, consultants and business leaders.

Discussions covered regulation and standards, extended producer responsibility (EPR), traceability, automation, environmental performance, digitalisation, artificial intelligence, material recovery and circularity.

The technical programme examined automated pyrolysis, co-processing, national standards for tyre pyrolysis oil (TPO) and recovered carbon black (rCB), fleet management, EPR policy and compliance, and the Common EPR Portal. Other topics included life-cycle assessment (LCA), greenhouse gas emissions accounting, digital transformation and technical innovation.

Industry and regulatory representatives attend opening session

The inaugural session featured Satish Goyal, President of TRRAI, and Jairaj Zarekar, its Secretary. Other participants included Anand Kumar, Former Director and Scientist ‘F’ at the Central Pollution Control Board; H. M. Meena, Scientist ‘D’ and Joint Director at the Bureau of Indian Standards; and Sanjeev Sharma, Senior Vice-President And Business Head For Mobility Solutions And Fleet Management at JK Tyre & Industries.

Arup Kumar Misra, Chairman of the Assam Pollution Control Board, was the chief guest and delivered the keynote address, “Tyre Recycling: From Liability to Asset”. The address focused on turning end-of-life tyres into recoverable resources and sources of economic value.

Three panels examine the sector’s priorities

The conclave featured three high-level panel discussions on sustainable recycling policy, recycling technology and the development of a circular tyre economy.

The first examined policy, standards, EPR, compliance and sustainable development. The second focused on shredding, granulation, automation and continuous pyrolysis. The third considered how collection, technology, markets and manufacturing could be connected to support a circular tyre economy.

The panels were moderated by Tushar Suhalka, Varun Manjunath and Jayant Vaidya, respectively.

The event also included an exhibition featuring more than 20 exhibitors and sponsors, networking sessions and an awards and recognition ceremony.

TRRAI highlights collaboration and standards

TRRAI said it had more than 500 members, representing approximately 75 percent of the tyre recycling market. The association works on standardisation, professionalisation, technical advancement, regulatory dialogue and collaboration across the sector.

The conclave highlighted the role of co-operation among industry participants, government bodies, regulators, standards organisations, technology providers and technical experts. Its discussions reflected a focus on stronger standards, improved traceability, environmental accountability, digitalisation and circularity.

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