India’s tyre industry is bracing for a tough fiscal year, weighed down by sluggish demand, volatile raw material prices and muted export growth. Revenue is forecast to expand just 7-8 percent – supported by modest price hikes and a marginal rise in volumes – marking a second straight year of single-digit growth. However, operating margins are set to contract sharply as natural rubber prices remain elevated despite recent moderation. In a wide-ranging discussion, Anuj Sethi, Senior Director at CRISIL Ratings, unpacks the factors shaping the sector, from price pressures and replacement demand to global headwinds and evolving trade dynamics.

How would you characterise the current fiscal year for the Indian tyre industry, considering its challenges and opportunities?

With volume expected to grow just by about 3-4 percent due to sluggish demand, overall revenue growth will remain in single digit for the second straight year, this fiscal. On the other hand, high raw material prices, especially of natural rubber, rose sharply over the past 12 months and have only recently begun to moderate. To a moderate extent, tyre manufacturers are increasing tyre prices in the replacement market to offset the impact of higher input prices, albeit operating profitability will still be impacted this fiscal.

The report mentions 7-8 percent revenue growth this fiscal year, supported by a 3-4 percent increase in realisations and volume. What specific factors could push growth beyond this forecast, and what risks might undercut it?

While realisation growth due to price hikes being undertaken by tyre manufacturers is a certain given sharp increase in natural rubber prices, higher than projected volume growth could take the growth higher than expected. With about 2/3rd of the domestic demand

coming from replacement segment, and it being the primary volume driver, any significant decline in that demand can impact the growth forecast other way.

Given that replacement demand is the primary volume driver, how do you assess the longevity of this demand surge in the context of evolving consumer preferences and vehicle usage patterns?

The replacement demand is expected to sustain over the medium term driven by the strong automotive sales achieved in previous fiscals.

With operating profitability projected to drop 300 basis points, what contingency measures are tyre makers considering beyond gradual price increases to mitigate this impact?

The price of natural rubber, which constitutes about half of the raw materials, continued to surge sharply in the first half of fiscal 2025. However, ability to pass on this increase is limited due to modest volume growth. Small price hikes and continued focus at improving operating efficiencies on an ongoing basis is another way to offset the impact to some extent.

Natural rubber prices have been highly volatile, reaching record highs and then falling to around INR 170 per kg. What is your outlook for natural rubber prices in the near to medium term, and what factors will likely influence their movement?

The sharp rise in natural rubber prices is due to a global shortage caused by inclement weather in major producing countries such as Thailand and Vietnam, which account for about half of the global production. Going forward, increase in supply with improving hectarage and slowdown in global economies is likely to drive correction in international rubber prices. In the last couple of months, some moderation in natural rubber prices has happened.

China has a surplus in crude oil-derived raw materials, including carbon black and other chemicals. Do you anticipate this surplus impacting global prices for these commodities, and how might Indian tyre makers benefit or face challenges as a result?

Share of natural rubber in tyre manufacturing is 47 percent, while carbon black accounts for ~20-22 percent. Should carbon black prices remain under control, it will benefit domestic tyre manufacturers.

Export growth is expected to remain muted at 2-3 percent. How does the current geopolitical climate, including sanctions or trade restrictions, further complicate Indian tyre makers’ access to markets in North America and Europe?

Export growth is expected to remain sluggish due to challenging business conditions in US and Europe. However, certain segments like off-the-road tyres are beginning to see better prospects as stocks with dealers are moderating. This could help players with presence in the off-the road- tyre segment.

Exports to key markets such as North America and Europe are under pressure due to economic challenges and unviable operating costs, leading to plant shutdowns in regions like US, Europe and Israel. Is the Indian tyre industry at risk of facing similar challenges, or does it have structural advantages that mitigate these risks?

Indian players are better placed compared to some of the western peers due to comparatively lower cost of operations, though operating profitability has come under pressure this fiscal because of higher imported rubber prices. Also, Indian players have flexibility to supply in small batch sizes unlike Chinese peers, and hence this also works to their advantage, more prominently in higher margin segments such as off-the road tyres.

Have tyre makers explored new international markets or alternative trade routes to counter supply chain disruptions and higher freight costs?

Not really; to circumvent the difficult environment around the Suez Canal, vessels are going around the Cape of Good Hope, adding 2-3 weeks and additional freight cost on exports. Some of the costs are being shared with the customers.

The report references Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) regulations. How significant is the financial and operational burden of compliance for tyre makers, and what progress has been made in addressing this?

Adoption of EPR regulations is not expected to have a very sizeable impact on profitability, though it will lead to investments in strengthening processes and in technology.

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Kumho Tyre UK Ltd is continuing to invest in its truck and bus tyre operations with the expansion of its sales leadership team. The company has promoted Tony McHugh to the role of Sales Director for the TBR division, having previously worked with the business on a consultancy basis. In a parallel move, industry veteran Stewart Little has been appointed as TBR Sales Manager.

Little brings over four decades of tyre industry expertise to the position. Beginning his career in 1983 at branch level, he has since built a comprehensive understanding of the commercial sector through hands-on experience in retail, wholesale, and sales management. Prior to joining Kumho, he spent eight years at Giti, where he served most recently as UK Sales Manager following a five-year period in wholesale. His career also includes a 26-year tenure at National Tyres, equipping him with deep operational insight.

McHugh’s elevation to Sales Director recognises his strategic input into Kumho’s truck tyre development and signals the company’s growing confidence in its TBR product range. Together, these changes reinforce Kumho’s commitment to strengthening its position in the commercial vehicle tyre market through both internal progression and targeted external recruitment.

Little said: “I am extremely proud to be joining Kumho Tyre. It is a brand with a well-established reputation as a premium mid-range manufacturer, offering reliable performance and outstanding value to both dealers and end users. Kumho is a name that needs very little introduction, and I am looking forward to contributing to the continued success and enthusiasm of the team. Having spent my career working across all areas of the trade, I’m excited to bring that experience into the business at a time of such positive growth.”

Welcoming both announcements, Richard Lyons, Managing Director at Kumho Tyre (UK) Ltd, said: “We are delighted to congratulate Tony on his promotion to Sales Director (TBR) and to welcome Stewart to the Kumho team. These appointments demonstrate our ongoing investment in people as we continue to strengthen our position in the truck tyre market. Kumho now offers one of the most robust and competitive TBR ranges available, combining performance, durability and value. With Tony’s leadership and Stewart’s extensive industry experience, we are well positioned to support our customers and drive the next phase of growth for the brand.”

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Finorchem Limited, a notable player in the speciality chemicals sector, has announced a key leadership appointment aimed at strengthening its operational and technological capabilities. The company has named R B Vishwanath as the Business Head – Manufacturing & Technology, based at its Kolkata Head Office.

This strategic move brings over four decades of chemical process industry expertise to Finorchem, with a particular emphasis on the rubber chemicals segment where Vishwanath has contributed for more than 20 years. The appointment signals Finorchem's commitment to advancing its manufacturing excellence and technological innovation.

Vishwanath is a graduate of the University of Madras with professional training in Chemical Technology. He further honed his leadership skills by completing a Post Graduate Program in Chief Operating Officer from the University of Kent's Kent Business School, in collaboration with the Indian Institute of Management, Visakhapatnam (IIM-V).

His distinguished career began in 1986 at Parke Davis in the Process Development Lab. He later spent 15 impactful years at Resonance Specialties, rising to the position of General Manager – Operations. In this role, he was instrumental in piloting, commissioning, and managing advanced vapour phase catalytic continuous flow production units for Pyridines and higher homologous Pyridines.

Subsequent senior roles saw him drive operational excellence at Arch Pharmalabs Ltd. as Assistant Vice President – Operations, overseeing the manufacture of sophisticated products including lipid-lowering intermediates, BOC products using Diazomethane and organophosphorus chemicals. His journey in rubber chemicals deepened significantly from 2003 onwards with a pivotal stint at Merchem Limited, before he brought his expertise to Finorchem as Vice President & Site Head.

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Kraton Corporation, a leading global producer of speciality polymers and high-value bio-based chemicals derived from pine wood pulping co-products, has named Sangwoo Ryu as its new Chief Executive Officer. Ryu possesses over 25 years of leadership in finance and operations within international markets. He is currently the CEO of Cariflex Pte Ltd, a former Kraton spin-off now under DL Chemical, where he initially served as Chief Financial Officer starting in February 2020. He assumed the Cariflex CEO role in April 2025 following the promotion of its former CEO, Prakash Kolluri, to President of Kraton's Polymer business.

Ryu’s deep expertise in financial strategy, investment controls and operational planning is expected to strengthen Kraton’s standing as a reliable leader in global Pine Chemical and Polymers markets. In his new position, he will collaborate with Kraton’s Executive Leadership, Board of Directors and Cariflex Leadership to guide strategic decisions and operational excellence, reinforcing the company’s commitment to sustained growth and organisational stability.

Ryu said, “I want to express my gratitude towards the members of the Board of Directors and the Kraton Leadership Team for their unwavering dedication to Kraton’s success. I’m looking forward to leading Kraton into the next era of excellence, building upon the strong foundations and principles set forth in our vision and values.”

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As part of its strategic growth into Central Europe, FORNNAX TECHNOLOGY, a global leader in recycling equipment manufacturing, has established a new sales partnership in Germany. The company has appointed industry veteran Dieter Jerschl as its representative for the region to drive the promotion and implementation of its recycling systems. Jerschl’s extensive expertise, built over two decades with prominent firms like BHS, Eldan and Vecoplan, encompasses a deep understanding of diverse waste streams such as tyre, cable, municipal solid waste and e-waste.

This collaboration, initially targeting Germany, Austria and adjacent countries, is designed to be flexible and scalable. Its primary aim is to cultivate a strong project pipeline and solidify FORNNAX’s regional footprint. The partnership extends beyond sales to include comprehensive technical support, with Jerschl’s team providing vital value-added services like installation, maintenance and spare parts assistance. This local service framework is intended to ensure efficient project execution, minimise operational downtime and elevate customer satisfaction.

By leveraging Jerschl’s profound market insight and established networks, FORNNAX seeks to accelerate the adoption of its high-performance shredding and pre-processing technologies. The move underscores the company’s global strategy of embedding local expertise within key markets, which it deems crucial for developing technically sound solutions tailored to specific regional waste challenges. This initiative reinforces FORNNAX’s dedication to innovation and environmental stewardship, advancing its mission to deliver sustainable recycling solutions worldwide.

Jerschl said, “I’ve known FORNNAX for over a decade and have followed their growth closely. What attracted me to this collaboration is their state-of-the-art technology; it is powerful, sustainable, and economically viable. There is great potential to introduce FORNNAX’s innovative systems to more markets across Europe, and I am excited to be part of that journey. We are committed to increasing market awareness and establishing new reference projects across the region. My goal is not only to generate business but to lay the foundation for long-term growth. Ideally, we aim to establish a dedicated FORNNAX legal entity or operational site in Germany over the next five to 10 years.”

Jignesh Kundaria, Director and CEO, FORNNAX, said, “We see tremendous potential in the Central European market. Partnering with someone as experienced and well established as Jerschl gives us a strong foothold and allows us to better serve our customers. This marks a major milestone in our efforts to promote reliable, efficient and future-ready recycling solutions globally.”

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