India’s tyre industry is bracing for a tough fiscal year, weighed down by sluggish demand, volatile raw material prices and muted export growth. Revenue is forecast to expand just 7-8 percent – supported by modest price hikes and a marginal rise in volumes – marking a second straight year of single-digit growth. However, operating margins are set to contract sharply as natural rubber prices remain elevated despite recent moderation. In a wide-ranging discussion, Anuj Sethi, Senior Director at CRISIL Ratings, unpacks the factors shaping the sector, from price pressures and replacement demand to global headwinds and evolving trade dynamics.

How would you characterise the current fiscal year for the Indian tyre industry, considering its challenges and opportunities?

With volume expected to grow just by about 3-4 percent due to sluggish demand, overall revenue growth will remain in single digit for the second straight year, this fiscal. On the other hand, high raw material prices, especially of natural rubber, rose sharply over the past 12 months and have only recently begun to moderate. To a moderate extent, tyre manufacturers are increasing tyre prices in the replacement market to offset the impact of higher input prices, albeit operating profitability will still be impacted this fiscal.

The report mentions 7-8 percent revenue growth this fiscal year, supported by a 3-4 percent increase in realisations and volume. What specific factors could push growth beyond this forecast, and what risks might undercut it?

While realisation growth due to price hikes being undertaken by tyre manufacturers is a certain given sharp increase in natural rubber prices, higher than projected volume growth could take the growth higher than expected. With about 2/3rd of the domestic demand

coming from replacement segment, and it being the primary volume driver, any significant decline in that demand can impact the growth forecast other way.

Given that replacement demand is the primary volume driver, how do you assess the longevity of this demand surge in the context of evolving consumer preferences and vehicle usage patterns?

The replacement demand is expected to sustain over the medium term driven by the strong automotive sales achieved in previous fiscals.

With operating profitability projected to drop 300 basis points, what contingency measures are tyre makers considering beyond gradual price increases to mitigate this impact?

The price of natural rubber, which constitutes about half of the raw materials, continued to surge sharply in the first half of fiscal 2025. However, ability to pass on this increase is limited due to modest volume growth. Small price hikes and continued focus at improving operating efficiencies on an ongoing basis is another way to offset the impact to some extent.

Natural rubber prices have been highly volatile, reaching record highs and then falling to around INR 170 per kg. What is your outlook for natural rubber prices in the near to medium term, and what factors will likely influence their movement?

The sharp rise in natural rubber prices is due to a global shortage caused by inclement weather in major producing countries such as Thailand and Vietnam, which account for about half of the global production. Going forward, increase in supply with improving hectarage and slowdown in global economies is likely to drive correction in international rubber prices. In the last couple of months, some moderation in natural rubber prices has happened.

China has a surplus in crude oil-derived raw materials, including carbon black and other chemicals. Do you anticipate this surplus impacting global prices for these commodities, and how might Indian tyre makers benefit or face challenges as a result?

Share of natural rubber in tyre manufacturing is 47 percent, while carbon black accounts for ~20-22 percent. Should carbon black prices remain under control, it will benefit domestic tyre manufacturers.

Export growth is expected to remain muted at 2-3 percent. How does the current geopolitical climate, including sanctions or trade restrictions, further complicate Indian tyre makers’ access to markets in North America and Europe?

Export growth is expected to remain sluggish due to challenging business conditions in US and Europe. However, certain segments like off-the-road tyres are beginning to see better prospects as stocks with dealers are moderating. This could help players with presence in the off-the road- tyre segment.

Exports to key markets such as North America and Europe are under pressure due to economic challenges and unviable operating costs, leading to plant shutdowns in regions like US, Europe and Israel. Is the Indian tyre industry at risk of facing similar challenges, or does it have structural advantages that mitigate these risks?

Indian players are better placed compared to some of the western peers due to comparatively lower cost of operations, though operating profitability has come under pressure this fiscal because of higher imported rubber prices. Also, Indian players have flexibility to supply in small batch sizes unlike Chinese peers, and hence this also works to their advantage, more prominently in higher margin segments such as off-the road tyres.

Have tyre makers explored new international markets or alternative trade routes to counter supply chain disruptions and higher freight costs?

Not really; to circumvent the difficult environment around the Suez Canal, vessels are going around the Cape of Good Hope, adding 2-3 weeks and additional freight cost on exports. Some of the costs are being shared with the customers.

The report references Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) regulations. How significant is the financial and operational burden of compliance for tyre makers, and what progress has been made in addressing this?

Adoption of EPR regulations is not expected to have a very sizeable impact on profitability, though it will lead to investments in strengthening processes and in technology.

Metso has named Renaud Lapointe as President of its Aggregates business area and a member of the Metso Leadership Team, with the appointment taking effect on 15 November 2026. He takes over from Markku Simula, whose departure from the company was announced on 11 August 2026.

Lapointe has been with Metso since 2005 and has served as President of the Europe and Central Asia market area since December 2024. Before that, he led the Metso Products business line within the Aggregates business area from 2018 to 2024, and between 2014 and 2017 he was Vice President of the Crusher Systems business line in the same segment. Earlier in his tenure, from 2005 to 2014, he held several leadership positions at Metso in France. Lapointe holds a degree in mechanical engineering from ISTIL in Lyon, France.

Lapointe said, "I am excited to return to the Aggregates business and lead such a highly respected global organisation. With its strong customer relationships, industry-leading solutions and talented team, the business is well positioned for continued success and growth.”

Sami Takaluoma, President and CEO, Metso, said, “Renaud brings experience from both our Aggregates business and our market area organisation. This combination will support the continued development of our offering and close cooperation with customers. I look forward to welcoming him to the Metso Leadership Team.”

JK Tyre & Industries is targeting double-digit growth in FY2027, supported by healthy commercial vehicle demand, sustained OEM traction and a growing market for premium passenger car tyres. However, rising raw material costs and elevated freight rates continue to pressure margins, prompting the company to pursue further price increases and operational efficiencies.

Anshuman Singhania, Managing Director, JK Tyre & Industries, expects demand to remain stable through the second half of FY2027, with commercial vehicle tyre sales projected to record double-digit growth for the full year. While passenger vehicle demand could moderate slightly, healthy OEM order books and replacement market traction are expected to support the industry's growth momentum.

“We are very optimistic going ahead that demand would be quite stable,” Singhania said during the post-results media interaction, adding that the positive momentum was expected to continue through the third and fourth quarters.

Record Revenue in Q2 FY2027

JK Tyre reported its highest-ever consolidated quarterly revenue of INR 48.5 billion in Q2 FY2027, up 20 percent year-on-year (YoY). Consolidated EBITDA rose 28 percent sequentially to INR 3.43 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 7.1 percent. Profit after tax stood at INR 600 million.

Domestic sales grew 32 percent YoY, led by a 65 percent increase in OEM sales following the implementation of GST 2.0. Exports also gained momentum, rising 14 percent sequentially despite geopolitical uncertainties and challenging international market conditions.

Growth was broad-based across product segments. OEM volumes increased 76 percent in truck and bus radial (TBR) tyres and 35 percent in passenger car radial (PCR) tyres. The tubeless tyre portfolio grew 25 percent YoY, against estimated industry growth of 10 percent, while tipper tyre sales increased 20 percent compared with industry growth of 11–12 percent.

Sales in the two- and three-wheeler category rose approximately 85 percent YoY, driven primarily by scooters. Replacement sales increased 20 percent, reflecting continued traction across channels.

Despite the revenue growth, profitability remains under pressure as input and logistics costs rise faster than they can be recovered through pricing.

Raw Material Costs and Freight Weigh on Margins

JK Tyre's raw material basket increased approximately 9 percent sequentially in Q2, with the cumulative increase over the preceding six months estimated at around 30 percent. Singhania expects a further 4–5 percent increase in the basket during Q3.

Elevated container freight rates have added to the pressure, with increases across geographies affecting exports and shipments from India. Higher petrol and diesel prices have also contributed to rising logistics costs.

The company is seeking to offset these pressures through price increases, manufacturing efficiencies and a richer product mix. However, the timing of margin recovery will depend on the extent to which higher costs can be passed on in a price-sensitive market.

Further Price Hikes Planned

JK Tyre increased prices by approximately 4–5 percent in Q1 and a further 7 percent sequentially in Q2, taking the cumulative increase during the first half of FY2027 to around 11–12 percent. The company intends to implement another 4–5 percent increase in Q3, subject to market conditions.

“The raw material increase is putting a lot of pressure on margins. But we are steadily increasing our prices to pass through,” Singhania said.

OEM pricing is partly linked to input cost indices, allowing some increases to be recovered through contractual adjustments. In the replacement market, price increases have been implemented more gradually over the past two quarters, with further adjustments expected.

Singhania acknowledged that the industry typically experiences a lag between cost escalation and full price recovery. While the company expects margins to improve through better OEM mix, price indexation and operational efficiencies, it has not quantified the anticipated improvement.

Premium Tyres Gain Share

JK Tyre is increasing its focus on premium passenger car tyres, particularly those with rim sizes of 16 inches and above. The company said the share of these tyres in its passenger car OEM mix increased to approximately 40 percent in H1 FY2027, compared with 35 percent in FY2026. These sizes account for around 27 percent of its overall mix, including the aftermarket.

The shift towards larger rim sizes is being supported by new vehicle launches and wider adoption across passenger vehicle categories. JK Tyre has secured 10 OEM approvals during the year, eight of which involve models in the 16-inch-and-above category. These include the Maruti Suzuki Brezza, Mahindra Thar, Renault Duster and Tecton, and MG Tomahawk, as cited during the media interaction.

“The market is growing, but our market is growing at a faster rate,” Singhania said, highlighting the opportunity presented by new OEM programmes and rising demand for larger rim sizes.

The company expects this segment to support product realisation and improve its sales mix, with additional capacity helping it meet evolving OEM requirements.

Expansion Continues as Exports Offer Headroom

JK Tyre is proceeding with its INR 11.3 billion capacity expansion programme, which Singhania confirmed would not be deferred. The previously announced INR 50 billion capital expenditure programme is also progressing through its initial phase.

The investments are intended to support domestic demand and create capacity for export opportunities. JK Tyre reported encouraging demand from Latin America and Africa, while some markets in Asia and Europe softened amid geopolitical uncertainty.

The company plans to continue serving established markets across Latin America, the Middle East, Southeast Asia and Africa, alongside a limited presence in Europe, while prioritising domestic OEM and replacement requirements.

For the second half of FY2027, JK Tyre expects commercial vehicle demand to remain supportive and is targeting double-digit growth in the segment for the full year. Strong OEM order books, replacement demand and the increasing contribution of premium tyres are expected to underpin growth. The key challenge will be translating higher volumes into sustainable profitability as the company navigates raw material inflation, freight costs and the lag in price recovery.

American Tire Distributors (ATD), a leading independent supplier in the replacement tyre industry, has appointed Michael Broderick as Interim President, effective immediately. He takes over from Ira B Silver. ATD also announced that the company and Silver have parted ways.

Broderick, who currently sits on ATD's Board of Directors and brings extensive automotive aftermarket experience, will guide the leadership transition. Meanwhile, the Board is conducting a comprehensive search for a permanent Chief Executive Officer, evaluating both internal and external candidates.

ATD continues to hold a significant position in the North American tyre market, supported by a broad distribution network, longstanding customer relationships and a diverse portfolio of manufacturer and proprietary brands. During 2026, the company eliminated more than USD 170 million in structural costs, reinvesting a portion of the savings, while shareholders have backed further investment in the national distribution network to strengthen market position and operating performance.

Philippe Gilbert, Chairman of the Board of Directors of ATD, said, “ATD has made important progress sharpening our focus on our core tyre distribution business, improving operational efficiency and delivering outstanding service and value to our customers and partners. As we look to accelerate these efforts, we determined that now is the right time to initiate a leadership transition. Mike brings substantial experience leading complex automotive businesses, and we are pleased that he is stepping in as Interim President to help us during this transition period. He will be supported by the ATD management team, which has played a central role in the Company's operational transformation, providing continuity of leadership across its distribution operations and strategic initiatives. On behalf of the Board, I would like to thank Ira for his leadership and contributions to help move the Company forward during a critical time.”

Broderick said, “I’m excited to step in and work alongside ATD’s team of talented associates as we focus on enhancing our network to provide customers with high-quality products and unparalleled service. As a member of ATD’s Board and over a decade of working with ATD as a customer, I’ve witnessed firsthand the strength of the Company’s robust national distribution network, deep customer and manufacturer relationships and long-held commitment to exceptional service. I look forward to advancing our efforts to strengthen our core tyre distribution business and build a stronger, more efficient company.”

Yokohama India plans to enter the two-wheeler tyre market for the first time, with the first set of products due by the end of next year — making India the first country globally to get two-wheeler tyres from the Japanese tyremaker. The move, confirmed by Managing Director and CEO Harinder Singh, coincides with the launch of the GEOLANDAR X-CV range, extending Yokohama’s flagship SUV tyre technology to smaller wheel sizes for India’s booming crossover segment.

India’s premium tyre market continues to reward companies that combine global technology with local agility. Yokohama India, already one of the country’s fastest-growing premium players, looks to tap into India’s SUV and premiumisation push, bringing global products but in a customised avatar for the domestic market.

On the other hand, India is set to become the first country in the world for Yokohama, where it will introduce two-wheeler tyres.

In an interaction with Tyre Trends, Harinder Singh, Managing Director and CEO, Yokohama India, confirmed that the company is actively working towards entering the two-wheeler tyre segment, with the first products targeted for launch by the end of next year.

“The move will require fresh capital investment and will initially focus on the premium category before expanding into mass-market offerings, along with supporting the growing Yokohama Club Network,” revealed Singh.

This development sits alongside the recent unveiling of the GEOLANDAR X-CV range, a significant extension of Yokohama’s global flagship SUV technology into India’s rapidly expanding crossover and premium SUV segment.

TWO-WHEELER ENTRY SIGNALS BROADER AMBITION

Responding to a query on the company’s plans to address the whitespace in its portfolio, Singh said, “We are actively looking to support the two-wheeler business. By the end of next year, hopefully we should be having the two-wheeler tyres also.”

It is important to note that at present Yokohama India has zero presence in the two-wheeler space. The initial thought is to begin with tyres in the premium segment and then ‘take a trickle in’ towards mass-market products.

“This is primarily to service and support our all Yokohama club networks. And we plan to sell through them. That’s the objective,” said Singh.

The decision reflects both opportunity and necessity. India’s two-wheeler market remains vast and premium tyres are gaining share as riders seek better handling, durability and safety. By channelling the new products through its branded retail network, Yokohama intends to maintain the premium experience that has defined its passenger-car strategy.

GEOLANDAR X-CV BRINGS FLAGSHIP TECHNOLOGY TO A WIDER AUDIENCE

The immediate focus, however, remains the passenger-car radial business and the newly launched GEOLANDAR X-CV. Originally engineered for luxury SUVs with wheel sizes above 18 inches, the technology has been extended downwards to 16 inches, creating what the company describes as India’s most extensive dedicated tyre range for crossover and premium SUVs. Yokohama India has planned around multiple variations spanning 16 to 20 inches.

The tyre incorporates Micro Silica technology for enhanced wet-road grip and reduced rolling resistance, an optimised asymmetric tread design with specialised inner and outer shoulder blocks, four wide circumferential grooves for water evacuation, proprietary 2D–3D Combination Sipes for improved wet traction and even wear and 5-Pitch Variation Technology to minimise pattern noise.

It uses reinforced two-ply sidewall construction and a full nylon cover to deliver durability and high-speed stability required for Indian conditions. Critically, the range is EV-compatible, engineered to handle higher vehicle weights and the instant torque characteristics of electric vehicles while remaining equally effective on internal-combustion and hybrid platforms.

Nitin Mantri, Member of the Board and Senior Managing Officer & Co-COO of Yokohama Rubber Co and Chairman of Yokohama India, framed the launch in strategic terms: “India continues to be one of Yokohama’s most strategic markets globally. Our continued investments in manufacturing, technology and premium product development reflects our confidence in the country’s long-term growth. The launch of GEOLANDAR X-CV reinforces our commitment to bringing globally proven innovations closer to Indian customers while strengthening Yokohama India’s position as one of the country’s leading premium tyre manufacturers.”

Singh added: “The crossover SUV segment is growing rapidly and the road infrastructure improving, now motorists are seeking a balance of safety, comfort, quietness and long-lasting performance. With the GEOLANDAR X-CV, we’re bringing flagship premium tyre technology to delight a wider base of crossover SUV owners.”

CAPACITY RUNNING NEAR FULL, EXPANSION ALREADY MAPPED

Yokohama India’s current installed capacity stands at approximately 4.5 million units a year. The capacity utilisation is already high. “We are almost full,” Singh noted.

Of the 4.5 million, roughly four million tyres serve the domestic aftermarket, with the modest surplus supporting European export requirements of the parent company. The Vizag plant has been designed with further phases in mind. “The plant is ready to be going for the next phase also. So as and when the requirement is, we will expand it,” averred Singh without giving out exact details.

Mantri elaborated on the flexible manufacturing philosophy. Buildings and long-lead equipment are already in place; additional machines will be added incrementally as demand thresholds are crossed.

The existing footprint can take capacity from 4.5 million to 6.3 million units. Beyond that, the parent company has demonstrated consistent willingness to invest. Cumulative investment in India across the Yokohama Group is already substantial, with the Vizag facility alone accounting for more than INR 30 billion in recent years and overall group investment estimated in the range of USD 700–800 million. An Odisha plant focused on off-the-road tyres is also under construction.

AFTERMARKET REMAINS THE CORE, BUT OEM SHARE IS SET TO RISE

For Yokohama India, aftermarket sales in the passenger vehicle segment still account for around 95 percent of its revenue. The company has roughly 3,000 channel partners and aims to reach 4,500 within three to four years, with particular emphasis on Tier-3 and Tier-4 towns.

A key pillar is the Yokohama Club Network of branded retail stores that deliver a premium customer experience, including a five-year worry-free warranty. “In tyre industry, you know, 80–85 percent of the customers sale happens with the influence of the channel partner. When a customer walks into those stores, he gets that premium experience,” noted Singh.

At present, for Yokohama India, the passenger vehicle OEM business contributes only about two percent, limited largely to Maruti Suzuki India. The roadmap is to raise this to 10 percent within five years, and potentially towards 10–20 percent over a longer horizon. “Indian OEMs are going to be an important part in our OE strategy,” Singh confirmed.

Adding to that, Mantri said that OEM development cycles are lengthy, typically three to four years, but multiple proposals are already under discussion. “Working hand in hand with OEMs allows us to be kind of even more successful than we are as we go forward,” he said.

LOCAL OWNERSHIP MEETS GLOBAL STANDARDS

One of Yokohama India’s distinctive features is the degree of local management autonomy. “India was the first place where Yokohama gave complete ownership to the local management. There was no Japanese chairman,” Mantri explained.

The experiment, begun in 2020, has married Japanese technology and quality culture with ‘Indian Jugaad, Indian innovation, Indian kind of hunger for growth’. The result, he said, has been ‘a wonderful recipe’.

Product strategy follows a similar hybrid logic. The Earth-1 range was designed specifically for India. Newer products such as the GEOLANDAR X-CV start from global platforms but are tuned in compound and construction for Indian roads and driving conditions.

Replying on the company’s localisation levels, Mantri said that “sourcing remains pragmatic. Yokohama seeks the highest quality at the best price, whether from India or Southeast Asia, rather than pursuing localisation for its own sake.”

Growth over the past five years has averaged 18 percent CAGR, a momentum the leadership is determined to sustain. Market share in the premium passenger-car radial segment is estimated at around 10 percent. The company continues to prioritise 16-inch and larger sizes while systematically filling remaining white spaces in the portfolio.

LOOKING BEYOND THE IMMEDIATE HORIZON

It is no secret that when it comes to digitalisation, consumers in India are exposed and are amongst the fastest adopters of the latest trends, be it product-as-a-service, online purchase or service on hire.

Many quick commerce platforms and tyre makers have taken the online route to directly engage and sell their products to the end-consumer, but for Yokohama India, online tyre sale holds little appeal.

“We are not into online business. That’s a no from our side,” Singh clarified. The preference remains for customers to experience the product and fitting process in a branded store. Marketing support is deliberately hyperlocal and digital rather than big-ticket sporting sponsorships.

As road infrastructure improves and motorists undertake longer journeys, demand is shifting towards on-road focused tyres, a trend the GEOLANDAR X-CV is positioned to capture. All-terrain products will continue for genuine off-road use, but the volume opportunity lies in the growing crossover segment. Continuous upgrades across the rest of the portfolio, including further evolution of the Earth-1 range, are already planned.

For Yokohama India, the strategy is clear – offer the best experience to Indian consumers, by introducing its globally proven products to the market without compromises, but yet in an Indian avatar. On the other hand, the company is also gearing up to enter new segment to further cater to customers in the premium two-wheeler space.  

QUALITY OVER FORCED LOCALISATION

Nitin Mantri, Member of the Board And Senior Managing Officer & Co-COO, Yokohama Rubber Co and Chairman, Yokohama India, shares his thoughts on the company’s future plans, production capacity, localisation and network expansion.

How significant is India within Yokohama’s global strategy?

India is one of our most strategic markets. It was the first place where we gave complete ownership to local management with no Japanese chairman. Combining Japanese technology and quality culture with Indian innovation and growth hunger has created a powerful combination.

India is already your fourth-largest market. Can it climb higher?

Passenger-car penetration remains much lower than in US, Japan or China. That gives us runway, but catching the very largest markets will still be challenging given the vehicles-per-person difference.

Why has OEM share stayed so low?

We were simply short of capacity. Aftermarket demand absorbed almost everything we could make. With new capacity coming on stream, we are deliberately changing that mix. We aim for 10–20 percent OEM over time. Development cycles with OEMs take three to four years, so results will appear gradually.

How do you approach product development for India?

Some products, such as Earth-1, were designed purely for India. For others, we take global platforms and carefully retune the compound and construction for Indian roads and conditions. The goal is global technology that feels native here.

What is the philosophy behind capacity expansion?

We design factories for flexibility and minimal waste. Long-lead buildings and equipment are installed first. Additional machines are added only when demand thresholds are crossed. Our current footprint can take us from 4.5 million to 6.3 million units. Beyond that, the parent company has consistently shown willingness to invest.

How do you view localisation of raw materials?

We source for the best quality and value, whether from India or elsewhere. Our specifications remain identical regardless of origin. We do not force localisation if it compromises quality or cost.

Are your tyres ready for the rise of electric vehicles?

Yes. Features such as specialised silica compounds that deliver low rolling resistance, higher load capacity and reduced noise work equally well on battery-electric, hybrid and conventional vehicles. That flexibility is deliberate.

What keeps you focused on the aftermarket network?

Channel partners still influence 80–85 percent of tyre purchases. Expanding from 3,000 to 4,500 partners, with particular attention to Tier-3 & Tier-4 towns, and strengthening the Yokohama Club branded stores remain central to our growth. n