By G Unnikrishnan, Senior Vice President at JK Tyre & Industries Ltd

While relentlessly working to meet these ever-growing demands through the addition of new capacities and capital spending, the tyre industry encounters the additional challenge of having to keep up with even faster advancements in the technology in their products and processes

The global tyre market, with a current production base of about 3 billion units - including replacement and OEM markets - is expected to surpass $300 billion by 2023 with a nearly 5 per cent world average CAGR. This growth is enabled by rising demand, healthy economic trends, vehicle production, and after-market demand from a wide variety of end-users worldwide.

While relentlessly working to meet these ever-growing demands through the addition of new capacities and capital spending, the tyre industry encounters the additional challenge of having to keep up with even faster advancements in the technology in their products and processes. Here are five key drivers coming from different directions for the tyre industry. They are incremental and radical innovations in products, customer demands in performance/delivery, environmental concerns and regulations, and need to improve manufacturing efficiency.

While these developments are promising and bring with them high-growth opportunities, they require tyre manufacturers to continually modify their products and processes to keep up. Tyre producers and, as a consequence, their machine and technology suppliers face a risk of obsolescence of their production assets with each adopted innovation.

Consequently, the future of any tyre or machinery manufacturer hinges on their ability to seamlessly adapt to this plethora of changes and forge ahead to new areas of profit not to be left behind by competitors.

This article is an attempt to understand how the tyre industry can navigate the tricky waves of change such that they not only manage to stay afloat in the industry but also thrive by grasping emerging opportunities. Tyre companies need to deep-dive into the drivers, enablers, and the resulting technological impact on machine manufacturers (see figure 1), and chart a mitigation strategy

Drivers and Enablers

1) Incremental product innovations - evolutionary progression in the industry.

One major area of focus in the tyre sector presently is energy-saving tyres, one that will only increase in prominence in the future. Expanding to energy-saving tyres, however, will prove to be tricky for machinery manufacturers since some of the essential processes involved - Lightweighting, special compounds, and thinner components - put considerable pressure on extrusion, stock preparation, handling, and assembly. Compounding and mixing area will see more of new processes such as liquid phase mixing and advanced materials.

When it comes to truck tyres, wide base technology will gain momentum in low RR radial tyres. As a result, there will be an increased need for tyre building machine to have advanced Centering and Application systems to reduce the impact of splices and improve component Centering for tyre appearance and quality.

2) Radical product innovations: Revolutionary changes in the industry

Profound transformations in the automotive field like smart tyres, electric mobility and autonomous driving call for more innovative concepts in tyre design and production.

Similarly, emerging concepts like run-flat tyres, air-less tyres and 3D printed tyres entail special features in machinery. Any tyre machinery manufacturer that wishes to remain relevant and differentiate globally needs to evolve rapidly, particularly in technology.

3) Changing customer delivery demands: Dynamic in nature

Car models are increasing in number and so is the complexity of tyre designs, resulting in more tyre variety and smaller lot sizes needing more number of moulds and quick changes in different process equipment and moulds. Also, the machines that manufacture should have flexibility and agility features to adapt swiftly to increasing product complexity and customer specifications.

Finally, as a machinery manufacturer, one must ensure the tyres produced using the machinery has the highest manufacturing accuracy and consistency to meet the customers’ specifications meeting overall quality standards and make tyre production competitive in this volatile market developments.

4) Manufacturing efficiency - a perpetual process

Tyre producers will continue to face increased competition on price, quality, delivery and pressure to reduce the tyre development life cycle, perform with fewer employees amid frequently changing product performance demands. Scarcity and growing costs for real estate is another major challenge. Hence enhancing the process efficiency in every stage of their manufacturing process would be an emphasis.

Compounding and Mixing fields bear the most significant potential to enhance efficiency with Liquid phase mixing and Automation. In the curing process, split component curing of tread and carcass separately is foreseen to dominate the industry eventually. So is the shift from mechanical to hydraulic and electric movements. Electric heating and steam elimination are also gaining popularity.

End-to-end traceability of all materials and components throughout the manufacturing and supply chain will be mandatory in the future.

5) Exponential technology: It is Automation Now:

Growing dependence on automation technologies by tyre manufacturers to meet the changing demands by performing operations such as processing, assembly, inspection, or material handling, in some cases accomplishing more than one of these operations in the same system is a welcoming trend. It is needless to state that Automating a manufacturing operation increases production rate, uniformity, conformity to quality specifications, reduction of defect rate, and manufacturing lead time, thereby reducing the work-in-process inventory. Process consistency is another critical area of paramount importance. The work is also made safer.

A higher level of automation in TBM is foreseen while it transports and assembles various components to build green tyres. TBM of the future will be with quicker and more accurate synchronisation system to give better tension control and edge placements, ergonomics and safety. A key role will be played by automated testing and data analysis technologies which can supplement traditional inspection to reduce errors and increase cost-efficiency. Consequently, higher investment in automation has become economically justifiable to replace manual operations.

Industry 4.0 : Quantum Leap in Performance:

In recent years, the traditional manufacturing industry is challenged worldwide with the digital transformation that is accelerated by exponentially growing technologies(e.g. intelligent robots, autonomous drones, sensors, 3D printing). Digitalisation allows easy integration of interconnected smart components inside the shop floor, that is the basis of the so-called Industry 4.0, and that is made possible by the widespread adoption of information and communication technologies by manufacturing companies. Major tyre manufacturers and their suppliers now are fully embracing the opportunities being presented by digital manufacturing taking full advantage of digitalisation and making use of new business models make it possible to get there.

The resulting conflict

The above mentioned best practice technologies representing the diffusion of innovation need to be implemented into the production process regularly and also when making new investment decisions in capital stock. This cycle of regular initiatives will lead to machinery upgrades and fall squarely onto the machinery manufacturers and even obsolescence risk of the current asset of tyre producers.

Machinery manufacturers, on the other hand, foreseeing the emerging challenges from tyre companies, are often confounded when investing in new technology. It is unthinkable to converge both at a breakneck pace. Years pass between the upgrades for both and risk of the business falling behind competitors grows. The goal of tyre producers and machinery manufacturers is to resolve these conflicts by synchronising and converging to meet the demands proactively.

Summarising, it is the brisk pace of change by tyre manufacturers, exponential technologies and automation that is driving tyre machinery manufacturers to invest more in R&D, evolve rapidly in technology that is leading to the obsolescence in capital asset.

A Mitigation Strategy: From Talk to Action

In many cases, the more pragmatic approach for tyre manufacturers would be to mitigate obsolescence risk instead of attempting to eliminate it. Following is a step-by-step method to doing so during this regular cadence of innovation. (Refer to fig 2 for a comprehensive outline)

To reap maximum benefit, tyre manufacturers need to implement their mitigation strategy in the form of an organisation-wide initiative, addressing both new projects (in “structural” approach) and regular operations (in an “infrastructural” approach).

This means that in addition to focusing on mitigation in new projects, tyre manufacturers must also continuously enhance the value of their current assets. Ultimately, they can succeed in building a sustainable ecosystem capable of thriving in an ever-changing industry if they perform a sort of an organisational and cultural transformation of their entire system.

Though specific mitigation strategies will vary from one organisation to another, I have distilled the initiatives into five distinct pillars to prepare the best-practice plan:

1. New Project Philosophy

2. Manufacturing Process Philosophy

3. Organisational Transformation

4. Enhancement of value of current capital assets

5. Product planning

For a good reason, when a company embarks on capacity expansion, it is essential to have a project philosophy to stick to. Such a philosophy involves paying attention to flexibility in process and machinery, scalability, and retrofittability, besides capital productivity and process efficiency. Keeping pace with current trends in machinery and digital technology is also vital. Various disciplines in manufacturing such as Automation, Exponential Technology, OEE, Energy efficiency, smaller equipment footprint, and equipment with Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) need to align well to avert investment risk effectively.

It is imperative to avoid isolated patches of automated systems. Adopting an “Open process automation” (OPA) vision is far easier to maintain and update leads to enhanced value addition. Doing so will gain additional traction to eventually replace large CapEx automation retrofit programs with smaller OpEx programs. Standardisation is another crucial and common layer which cut across machines, parts, processes, materials, components and toolings.

On the manufacturing process philosophy front, using the lean approach to seek opportunities to simplify the process and cut non-value adding steps is a major step for process agility and efficiency. The lean approach through a Near Net Shape process (NNS) by getting rid and combining of process step (for, e.g., calendar-less belt/body ply making), incorporating more concurrent steps and transforming semi-continuous processes to continuous processes is the way.

Tyre companies should seriously consider modularity and flexibility to be amenable for scalability, extensibility, mass customisation, and to reduce the risk of upfront investment. Modularity and flexibility will also enable them to move closer to customers and to have agility. To maximise the benefit, continuous progression in process technology is necessary, which will give inputs to the above project philosophy. Faster adoption of exponential technologies and Industry 4.0 compliance will dramatically boost the effectiveness of the mitigation plan. The loop will be completed when the project plan drives product engineering and eventually aligns products to the finalised plan.

It’s time to realise, also for a good reason, that attention must be paid to organisational transformation initiatives such as co-creation with customers and vendors, speeding-up the technology trend for first-mover advantage and shifting from product features back to service to customers by assisting capability building. Building the ecosystem proactively before product innovations, having technical change as part of investment analysis, moving from CapEx to OpEx by out-sourcing of customised semi-finished stocks (for, e.g., compounds) and components and capability building in emerging technologies by taking full support of machine manufacturer is critical. Another fundamental mindset change needed is valuing “generalists” rather than “specialists” as it is the key to creative breakthroughs involving recombining or reimagining things that already exist. All these initiatives eventually will lead to foreseeing the requirements well in advance and reengineering and upgrading the assets to contemporary level in functionality with minimum investments at a more predictive pace.

I would also like to emphasise that, while investing in the right technology is essential, the biggest challenge is not limited to selection - ultimately success or failure depends on the timing and requires assessing the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) and exploiting the full potential of new technologies.

Additionally, a robust technology forecasting and product/process lifecycle management by creating a “sunset” policy for older products and machinery are paramount to cover investment risks. Another key initiative is on the product front - efforts should be put to increase the market share of current products through value enhancement and penetration of new markets. Product migration using adjacent technologies with appropriate reconfiguration in processes and layout is also vital. These initiatives will enhance the value of current capital assets and as a result, boost risk mitigation.

Now What?

The underlying goal of a mitigation strategy is to quantify the risk involved and determine the measures that make most business sense to soften the impending obsolescence. A phased approach would be to first identify and define the goals and scope of the obsolescence plan with dedicated qualified resources. Next is to prioritise the measures bringing the most value to the business and making sure they are aligned with the company vision.

It would help to initiate pilot projects and capability building to better plan for adopting advancing technology and ease the shift to the next paradigm, allowing you to embrace the future in stride. Make sure company leadership is ready and willing to champion your approach with a broader range of factors in mind focussing on an ecosystem.

Charting an action plan for the investments and technology needed such that there is minimum risk is a demanding task. Doing this will enable them to expand the firm’s productive capacity and produce quality tyres that are cost-competitive by infusion of modern technologies and that meet customer demands. The investment would turn attractive after a reasonable period putting the business on a more robust and competitive footing.

But the optimism is that companies responsive to automotive market trends and fast-changing technologies with a robust risk assessment and technology management will come out on top.

G. Unnikrishnan is a tyre technical professional with over 30 years’ experience. He is currently Senior Vice President at JK Tyre & Industries Ltd. The opinions and observations presented here are his own and do not represent that of any company or organisation

 

 

While the tyre and rubber industries are experiencing one of their most dynamic periods thanks to North American integration, the retreading sector continues to face economic, cultural and market challenges in its efforts to regain momentum.

Few Latin American economies currently occupy as strategic a position within the global tyre industry as Mexico. The combination of manufacturing capacity, geographic proximity to United States and the advantages provided by the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) has consolidated the country as one of the leading tyre and rubber manufacturing hubs in the region.

In recent years, US trade policies directed at producers located outside North America have further strengthened this position. Investment relocation, nearshoring strategies and the need to secure regional supply chains have created particularly favourable conditions for Mexican industry.

The effects are visible throughout the value chain. Tyre manufacturers, rubber compound producers and raw material suppliers are operating at high activity levels, largely driven by demand from the US market. Industry stakeholders consistently point out that the current challenge is not finding customers but maintaining sufficient capacity to meet North American demand.

The rubber compound industry is perhaps one of the clearest examples of this trend. Benefiting from the regional trade environment, many companies are operating close to full capacity, supplying tyre manufacturers as well as other rubber-related industries. A similar situation can be observed among several retreading material suppliers, whose primary concern is not local demand but their ability to meet growing requirements from United States.

Yet, while manufacturing is experiencing a period of expansion, the retreading sector faces a very different reality.

The paradox is striking. In a country that markets more than 40 million tyres annually and possesses one of Latin America’s strongest industrial platforms, retreading has not been able to regain a sustained growth trajectory.

During his presentation at the Latin Tyre & Auto Parts Expo Panama 2025, Juan Carlos Hernández, then Commercial Manager of Hules Banda, presented figures that help illustrate the scale of the challenge. According to the data presented, Mexico marketed more than 40 million tyres during 2024, with an estimated potential of over five million tyres suitable for retreading. However, only around 960,000 units were actually retreaded, representing a retreading rate of approximately 18 percent.

The figures become even more revealing when analysing installed capacity utilisation. While tyre factories report average idle capacity levels close to 14 percent, retreading plants operate with approximately 70 percent idle capacity. Furthermore, during the first months of 2025, retread production showed a decline of nearly 9 percent compared to the previous year.

The reasons behind this situation appear to be less related to technical capabilities and more connected to the economic incentives currently shaping the market.

The growing presence of low-cost imported tyres has significantly transformed purchasing decisions across many fleets. According to Hernández’s presentation, nearly 40 percent of the radial truck tyre market consists of Asian products sold for less than USD 150 per unit. As a result, the economic gap between purchasing a low-cost new tyre and investing in a retread has narrowed considerably for many operators.

In this context, measures such as tariffs on selected imported products have so far failed to generate significant structural changes in market behaviour or retreading activity levels.

However, attributing the situation solely to pricing would be an oversimplification.

One of the most interesting observations highlighted by Hules Banda points to a less visible but potentially more significant long-term issue: the gradual loss of tyre management culture.

For decades, retreading formed part of a comprehensive asset management strategy, where tyres were managed throughout multiple life cycles in order to maximise cost per kilometre performance. Today, in many segments of the transport industry, that approach has increasingly been replaced by purchasing decisions focused primarily on immediate acquisition costs.

The result has been lower casing utilisation, fewer maintenance and monitoring programmes and increasing difficulty in demonstrating the long-term economic benefits that have historically supported the retreading business model.

Paradoxically, those segments that continue to manage tyres as strategic assets still demonstrate the relevance of retreading. Fleets operating premium and medium-tier tyres remain highly dependent on retreading to optimise operating costs, improve profitability and maximise asset utilisation.

CIRCULAR ECONOMY BEYOND END-OF-LIFE TYRES

Another issue deserving attention is the way the circular economy debate is currently evolving within Mexico’s tyre sector.

Much of the public and regulatory discussion focuses on end-of-life tyres (ELTs), collection systems, reverse logistics and recycling or recovery solutions once the product reaches the end of its useful life. By contrast, strategies aimed at extending product life through reuse often receive considerably less attention.

This is particularly relevant given that internationally recognised circular economy principles establish a hierarchy in which extending product life generally delivers greater environmental value than interventions applied after a product becomes waste.

From this perspective, retreading represents one of the most tangible examples of circularity within the tyre industry, as it preserves the economic, material and energy value embedded in the original casing for a longer period.

Mexico will undoubtedly remain one of the leading players in the North American tyre industry. The strength of its manufacturing sector appears well supported by regional integration, industrial investment and strong demand from United States.

The question that remains is whether the retreading sector will be able to become fully integrated into this growth story.

The industrial capacity exists. The technology is available. Premium market segments continue to require strategies focused on maximising cost per kilometre performance. The challenge appears to lie elsewhere: rebuilding tyre management culture and repositioning retreading as a strategic tool for competitiveness, efficiency and circular economy performance.

At a time when much of the discussion focuses on managing tyres at the end of their life, perhaps the more important question is how to ensure that life lasts longer in the first place.

I can still vividly remember a journey I made in 1995 with my young Kenyan MD (who is no longer living) in a hired car from the Delhi Airport to some town close to Ludhiana to meet a tyre moulding machinery supplier. The travel was through vast expanses of paddy fields extending to miles, and in between, we could see large industrial sites far away. A clear sign of industry and agriculture co-existing synergistically. When passing the area called Kurukshetra, the driver mentioned that there was a war at this area a long time ago. He was obviously referring to the great war of the epic Mahabharata, a subject which still generates ample curiosity in me even at this advanced age. With growing years of maturity, I am more convinced that the great war symbolically and semantically depicts the inner conflicts going on in our own minds, while these are conventionally polarized as ‘black and white’ under the ‘all- or- nothing’ principle, and Kurukshetra represents our own hearts and intellect, commonly called the emotional brain and intellectual brain in today’s jargon. Equipped with my industry experience acquired for nearly six decades, I am tempted to make a rather feeble effort to understand what has changed in the managerial mind map over the past 50 odd years. It would be similar to finding parallels between the Vietnam War in the late sixties and current war going on in the Middle East, despite the common factor, US.

Quite in contrast to machinery and materials, the man component of the traditional 4Ms is the most confusing area despite the vast research that has been carried out over the years. It is said that the adult human brain consists of about 86 billion neurons, an astronomically high figure compared to memory capacity of the modern computers. Over the past few decades, the modern managerial mindset has undergone profound transformations. Managers today, particularly in the age group of 35 to 50 ( Gen X), operate in an astonishingly different scenario compared their counterparts 50 years ago. The two eras are fundamentally different and attempting to compare them is largely futile. The rapid changes, technologically, culturally, socially and psychologically, are so vast that today’s managers are shaped by globalisation, digitalisation and fierce competition, which has significantly altered their cognition, thinking patterns, values and behavioural approaches.

While most living managers of the older generation adopt a stance of lamenting about the ‘’good old times’, I think it would be more prudent to understand the realities of change. Management philosophies have undergone profound change, evolving from Taylor’s scientific management and Fayol’s top-down framework based on five key managerial functions to the humanistic approaches advanced by Carl Rogers and Maslow. This is the universal feature of impermanence of all conditioned phenomena (cause-effect related), discovered more than 2,600 years ago by Lord Buddha and some Greek and other Eastern philosophers. Endeavoring to maintain stability, in an ever-changing world scenario, has been the driver for the emergence of management concepts and theories, including the latest approaches seen in the contemporary modern world. Comparing modern managers with those from 50 years ago is unrealistic because of the complete change in the context. Earlier managers operated in stable and localised economies, while modern managers operate in a dynamic globalised environment. It is sometimes said that ‘when the President of the United Sates sneezes, the Eastern leaders catch a cold’, a fact amply demonstrated by the recent events.

Decision-making in the past was slow and experience-based, while today it is data driven, rapid and technologically assisted. Traditional management emphasised relationships, loyalty and progressive and gradual growth, while modern systems emphasise on performance metrics and quick results, like the instant coffee.

The growing corporate trends due to industrialisation over the past 30 years especially has witnessed increased focus on productivity, efficiency and outputs along with standardisation, which has made workers and managers becoming a part of a mechanised system. Modern corporate managerial thinking is also been heavily influenced by globalisation, due to exposure to international competition and the need to adapt to diverse cultures and markets and the pressures to meet global benchmarks and standards. The constrains and the stresses imposed on countries such as Sri Lanka is tough in these areas. A good example is the EUDR requirements, which initially was a nightmare to the rubber product manufacturing companies. A far more serious non-technical consequence is that the concept of a ‘global village’ is eroding values of the strong cultural and ethical foundation, leading to identity dilution among managers

During my association with the industry, particularly over the past 20 years, I have personally witnessed decline of the traditional values in the modern managerial mindset. This is also seen in some professional associations in which I have been a member for a long time. Some of the key trends noted are as follows:

a) Limited understanding and low priority given for religion, history and cultural heritage.

b) Reduced emphasis on ethics, empathy and social responsibility despite the fact that this has become a ‘catch word’ in most corporate circles.

c) Over reliance on technical knowledge and digital skills.

d) Decline in the respect for elders and their experience (crystallised knowledge)

e) Over confidence due to access to information, which brings forth a ‘know it all ‘stance.

f) Diminished openness to learn from others.

g) Difficulty in accepting criticism and feedback

While these tendencies directly affect workplace relationships, team cohesion and leadership effectives, the hidden or latent consequences have more deeper implications on personal and social wellbeing.

The Buddha in one of the discourses has observed that a person can victoriously face a battle against an army of elephants, horses, chariots and infantry by having the necessary resources, but it will be more difficult to win the war within due to mental conflicts.

Most business environments are characterised by aggressive target setting, continuous performance evaluations and competitive organisational cultures, which has caught the managers in a perpetual rat-race where success is narrowly defined by targets and profits while there is hardly any time for reflection or personal growth. This creates a certain emptiness and dissatisfaction even among the high achievers.

I find it interesting at this juncture to refer to the historic concept of Sigmond Freud (considered as the founder of Psychoanalysis), the structural components of the mind, namely Id (pleasure principle or gratification), Ego (reality principle) and the Super Ego (ethical and moral conscience). In order to minimise the negative impacts of the conflicts between them, the Ego resorts to defence mechanisms, or temporary coping solutions. Some of these are denial of the problem, repression of the feelings, projection of the blame to somewhere else and rationalisation or giving logical but false explanations. While these   are useful in the short term, over reliance can interfere with mental functioning and emotional growth. All of us are unconsciously resorting to one or several of these in times of emotional turmoil.

The pressures of modern management have led to an exponential growth in mental health challenges in recent years, which include common mental disorders such as stress, anxiety, burnout, depression and features associated with Borderline Personality traits (emotional instability and impulsivity), which result in work-life imbalance and chronic dissatisfaction.

Due to the high psychological demands, there is a growing need for career and workplace counselling. Counselling is a relatively new term that came into prominence around the mid-20th century, before which guidance and support was traditionally provided by the religious institutions, parents, teachers and the elders in the society. Over the recent years, counselling has evolved as a unique profession. Many organisations, especially the larger ones due to the seriousness and gravity of the problems they experience, have established counselling as a regular activity performed in-house or outsourced. Counselling helps managers to cope up with stress and expectations, supporting emotional regulation and resilience and enhancing self-awareness and interpersonal skills, which results in reconnecting purpose and meaning and balancing professional and personal life to develop a healthier mind set. The modern managers must endeavour to have a balanced mind set which is an integrated mix of technical competence, human values, cultural awareness and emotional intelligence and wellbeing. Only then they can move beyond being mere ‘cogs in a wheel’ and become holistic, effective and ethical leaders in the modern world

It is somewhat ironic that Human Resource Sustainability is not named as a single standalone goal in the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) but covered under several headings such as Good Health and Wellbeing, Quality Education, Gender Equality, Decent Work, Economic Growth and Reduced Inequalities.

While I do not have firsthand information on how human resource counselling is caried out in other countries, my observations and experience in Sri Lanka is that it is done more in a fire fighting or reactive mode, where corrective and remedial measures are taken only in cases of psychological deviances. It is somewhat surprising because Sri Lanka is famous for its preventative public health care in pre and postnatal maternity health and school dental health. Industry safety and health is fairly well addressed in most large, medium and some small enterprises, although these are mainly covering the operational levels. Currently, several standard stress, anxiety and depression measuring scales, both qualitative and quantitative, are available, but they do not seem to be used proactively to detect the cinders underneath the ash. People in emotional distress invariably need to vent their thought and emotions, which causes several cognitive distortions and mental disorders. Active and empathetic listening plays the major role in a therapeutic counselling relationship

Coming back to the Mahabharata, the classic instance of counselling for a person in deep emotional conflict and inner war is the Bhagwat Gita, and all of us will need Lord Krishnas in different disguises at some stages in our lifetimes.

It is interesting how Buddha has adopted an integrative approach to the four aspects or components of wellbeing for human progress as:

• Physical wellbeing
• Mental wellbeing
• Social wellbeing
• Spiritual wellbeing

The author is a Management Counsellor from Sri Lanka. 

At the end of my career, I am at the return-on-investment stage, giving back my mentors’ investments in me for all those years ago, and even not so long ago.

Training to me is setting the standards that you wish your trainees to achieve. All those mistakes you learned the hard way, the tricks of the trade, the missteps can all be related to those who’ve chosen our industry. Help them understand how to learn.

The standard for training has to be set very high; no use having a low bar and then complaining that no one knows what they are doing. If you jump for the stars but don’t quite make it, then at least you’ve cleared the tree tops.

When setting training qualifications, the quality of the parameters of the applied learnings has to be not only high but sound. The written materials have to be water tight, the methodology without flaw and the evidence of successful learnings not just a tick and flick exercise. The candidates undertaking the training have to be assessed and then critically deemed competent.

One could be forgiven for not wanting to get on a commercial aircraft if the pilot had ‘purchased’ the qualification instead of working for years towards it; likewise, think about a surgeon operating. The methodology and learning materials have to be sound and qualified.

Bureaucrats often outline training without any real knowledge of what the industry involves. Sure, there are governmental outlines as to what has to appear and how it must appear, but does this really meet the requirements of industry? Few industries are so alike that the same template of learnings can be applied, but for the sake of being able to tick the boxes and say, ‘Yes Minister’, we have standardised learnings regardless of the actual industry requirements.

Safety is the paramount learning. There is no return on investment if the training candidate is injured or maimed and cannot actually perform the work they were trained in. There are only poor outcomes for all involved, from the employer to the family; the provided training must embed safety as a paramount requirement.

I acknowledge the human failings whereby, even with all safety systems engaged, poor judgements and flawed decision-making can lead to inauspicious outcomes. Humans are fallible creatures, and that is what makes us different from machines.

When engaged in a training process, all the ‘what ifs’ have to be considered. In the early days of my education in computing using pencils and card readers, I soon learned the base rule of garbage in equals garbage out, or GIGO. After numerous hours of hairpulling, a comma was identified as the error; it should have been a full stop. There were no error messages generated, no one looking over my shoulder assisting; I blundered on until I stumbled over the fact that I had screwed up. The outcome was negligible, just some lost time. For others in our industry, a mistake may mean the end of their career, loss of amenity and even loss of their life. Do we permit such ‘what ifs’ to be ignored in training?

In the early days of tyre service personnel training, I’d commence the session by telling the candidates ‘never use your first chance, you may not get a second’, then run a series of videos showing catastrophic tyre failures, some simple others disturbing, but the message was clear. There is a process that has to be followed; do not take short cuts and do not deviate without understanding the risks involved deeply and clearly.

In preparing training materials, the risks (regardless of industry) have to be clearly understood; there is no tolerance for a lack of risk assessment and associated mitigation. If a poor standard of materials is presented to newbies to the industry, how are they equipped to identify the flaws that could propagate the catastrophic outcomes we all seek to avoid?

Training is not unlike the manufacturing of a tyre. The materials involved in the construction have to be of sound quality; the processes used in the matrix of the materials to produce the end result we know as a tyre have to be exacting. Anything less and the end product is a blemish or down grade.

Is this what we desire in the personnel we train?

Tyre servicing is one of the most hazardous occupations that is not licensed. Electricians, medical workers, lawyers, all require strict licensing. Yet the personnel that manipulate large tyres that have destructive burst forces that can, and do, result in fatal injuries may not even be required to demonstrate their competency in the aspects of the duties they may encounter.

Tyres are ubiquitous in our societies; just as we observe with the current petroleum shocks, the loss of tyres would be just as disruptive to our modern way of life. We can live without social media (as much as the squeals I hear saying NOOOOO), but can we live without tyres? From the paddock to the plate, tyres are part and parcel of the product. Look around you right now and think about what didn’t arrive in your sight as a result of tyres’ involvement. I doubt if there is anything you see that didn’t arrive to you on tyres.

So why do we not engage with serious education not only for the personnel operating in the tyre industry but also the general public?

I read of tyre recycling efforts, yet most people will only identify with plastics as a recycling target. This whilst listening to a streaming service sitting on public transport running on transport that requires tyres to operate. Tyres are forgotten; everyone ASSuMEs[sic] that the tyre does its job without any thought given to the personnel that ensure our daily safety and food.

Tyres deserve better recognition of the service they provide to our societies. The personnel that service our tyres also deserve the highest level of training that can be provided, not just learn on the job with the potential of not being able to return home in the same condition as they arrived at work.

Training packages must be water tight; anything less will only result in the submersion of the outcomes below the standard that is safe. Training is an investment in the future; to those who invested in me in my younger days, I say THANK YOU! You did well in that I have made it to the later stages of my life intact and am still able to function. Your mentorship is remembered and honoured.

I take this opportunity to remember John Powath, the founder of this masthead. His standards and leadership have created opportunities for our industry to achieve a global recognition of excellence.

Training is the foundation of our industrial and societal processes. Do not scrimp on the materials presented and do not underestimate the risks involved regardless of how trivial they may seem.

Take care, stay safe and invest in your future by offering the highest quality training you can possibly deliver. Your life may depend upon it.”

The effects of the Strait of Hormuz closure will become particularly evident in 2026 and undoubtedly represent a strategic bottleneck for global energy and petrochemical trade. The Gulf War disrupted raw material supplies, crippled logistics and destabilised key export markets.

While the war represents a financial catastrophe, it also presents new opportunities. It has driven up raw material costs, while the logistics crisis has impacted export markets. The financial consequences include shrinking margins and reduced demand. However, long-term strategic shifts are expected, and these trends are likely to accelerate by 2040.

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the disruptions in the Red Sea have brought maritime traffic to the Middle East and Europe to a near standstill. The war has caused logistical chaos, and exports face immediate difficulties. China alone was expected to export more than seven million tyres to the Middle East by 2025, but this vital trade route is now blocked by skyrocketing freight rates and insurance premiums.

The profitability of the sector, whose gross margins are expected to fall to slightly more than four times their pre-war levels, is likely to be impacted by market consolidation and rising demand for high-tech tyres, particularly for electric vehicles. In the short to long term, the costs of raw materials such as synthetic rubber, carbon black and logistics are expected to rise significantly. Furthermore, this crisis could spur massive investments in bio-based and recycled materials to reduce dependence on petroleum. To address supply bottlenecks, the sharp decline in exports from the Middle East, coupled with significantly increased transportation costs, should be offset by regionalised production, for example, in India and Southeast Asia. With regard to product development, the short-term priority of cost control should lead to an acceleration of research and development into sustainable rubber compounds and sensorless smart tyres.

The end of the Gulf War is likely to usher in a period of weak economic growth and high inflation. The tyre industry is already facing a profound restructuring process. In the post-war era, the focus is not only on repairing the damage but, above all, on accelerating the long-term transition to regionalised supply chains, a circular economy and value creation through technology.

The most immediate consequence of war is a drastic increase in raw material costs,

which can account for almost 70 percent of tyre production costs. Around 45 percent of the raw materials used in the tyre industry are petroleum-based, and another 45 percent are natural rubber. In the case of synthetic rubber (NBR/SBR), the direct rise in oil prices leads to a price increase for butadiene, a key raw material. In the US, NBR prices rose by 7.4 percent at the beginning of March 2026; in China, butadiene prices jumped by 25 percent within a week.

Analysts estimate that this conflict could reduce global natural rubber production by 36 to 45 kilotonnes in the first half of 2026. How can this be explained, given that the effects on natural rubber are indirect? Diesel shortages prevent trucks from collecting rubber from plantations, thus reducing supply on the market. This shortage is contributing to the energy crisis in Southeast Asia. Prices for carbon black and chemicals derived from oil and gas are also rising in line with increasing energy costs. The supply of speciality chemicals (such as bromine from Israel) is also at risk.

Bio-based materials, particularly long-term ESG pilot projects, represent an immediate strategic necessity. The market for bio-based materials is projected to reach USD 337 million by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 101 percent, thus replacing volatile petrochemical feedstocks. Similarly, it is becoming increasingly clear that tyre pressure monitoring systems (TPMS) and sensorless, AI-powered systems like Michelin SmartWear can reduce costs and enhance safety.

Rising energy prices and crumbling infrastructure will weigh on consumption and investment. Inflation is high and is expected to remain high (around four percent for the G20 in 2026). Even after the war, energy costs and the rebuilding of supply chains will keep prices high. Consequently, the post-war economic recovery is expected to be slow and uneven, without a V-shaped rebound. The war has left lasting scars on global supply chains and public finances. Global GDP growth is weaker and below the pre-pandemic average.

In the field of carbon black recycling, carbon black is developing into a strategic raw material. Recycled carbon black (rCB) and tyre pyrolysis oil are becoming strategic raw materials intended to replace unstable fossil fuels. Massive investments, such as in Lummus-InnoVent, a continuous pyrolysis technology, will increase rCB production and reach a market of USD 15.6 billion by 2034.

Sustainable and bio-based materials are of great strategic importance, and significant investments are already being made to increase their production. Rising oil prices are making bio-based alternatives economically viable and essential for security of supply. Therefore, the transition to sustainable materials is no longer just an ESG goal but a necessity for the entire supply chain.

The Gulf War acted as a powerful catalyst, transforming promising future trends into immediate and essential investments. Bio-based silanes, for example, are now being used more and more frequently. Momentive’s NXT P97, a next-generation silane for electric vehicle tyres with 79 percent bio-based carbon, reduces reliance on fossil fuels while improving rolling resistance and durability. This technology, a prime example, is currently being deployed on a large scale.

Tyre prices will remain high. The recovery will therefore be characterised more by rapid strategic development than by a simple return to pre-war levels. It is not so much the fluctuating demand from car manufacturers, but rather the replacement tyre market, which alone accounts for 70 percent of the volume, that is likely to continue to strongly support the consumer goods and logistics sectors during the economic recovery.

Increasing uncertainty is becoming the new normal. Geopolitical risks remain a key concern, forcing companies to prioritise resilience over efficiency. This situation is creating unequal competitive conditions for tyre manufacturers and their core markets. The difficulties faced by energy-importing countries in Europe and Asia will be further exacerbated in this climate of uncertainty.

This crisis will be one of the main reasons for the relocation of production to key markets, forcing the tyre industry to make unavoidable investments. It will be compelled to implement the technologies necessary for a more resilient, sustainable and technologically advanced future. New production centres will be established to circumvent geopolitical obstacles. This new dynamic is characterised by a clear strategic realignment of production and supply chains, accelerating ‘out-of-China’ models and leading to regionalisation. This conflict is not merely a disruption but a form of brutality for economically weaker countries, even if it represents a highly effective response to the relocation of production areas.

This war teaches us that excessive dependence on unstable regions like the Middle East must be balanced by the need for market diversification. Exporters like China and India will increasingly focus on Africa, Latin America and Southeast Asia. Margins will remain under pressure in the short term. High raw material and energy costs will not fall immediately. Large global companies will gain market share by leveraging their size and technology, as well as through increased regionalisation. Conversely, smaller, less diversified companies risk being acquired or exiting the market. Companies with strong pricing power and high operational efficiency will recover faster than those that rely solely on low prices.

The tyre industry is facing profound change. The tyre market is being restructured, and local, sales-oriented production is being intensified to circumvent geopolitical barriers and tariffs. In the short term, demand is expected to recover, but profit margins will be severely impacted by persistently high costs. In the long term, the sector will become more regionally focused, evolve towards a circular economy and rely more heavily on technology. In short, the end of the war will not restore the pre-conflict status quo. The crisis has forced a difficult but necessary transition to sustainable and resilient business models that will shape the key trends through 2040.