Natural Rubber Prices to Pressure Profit Margins; Credit Profiles Remain Stable

Tyre manufacturers in India are bracing for a second consecutive year of single-digit revenue growth as rising natural rubber prices and global economic challenges weigh on the sector. Revenue is forecast to grow seven percent to eight percent in the current fiscal year, driven by a three percent to four percent increase in both realisations and volume, according to an analysis by CRISIL Ratings. 

While this marks a significant improvement from the previous fiscal year, when revenue grew at approximately four percent, it falls short of the compound annual growth rate of 21 percent between fiscal years 2021 and 2023. 

Gradual price increases to offset cost pressures 

Tyre makers are implementing gradual price hikes to mitigate the impact of surging natural rubber costs, which account for nearly 50 percent of raw material expenses. Realisation growth is expected to be staggered throughout the year as manufacturers carefully balance price increases with market demand. 

Volume growth, projected at three percent to four percent, will be driven primarily by replacement demand rather than new vehicle sales. However, the limited ability to fully pass on higher input costs will strain operating margins, which are expected to shrink by approximately 300 basis points to 13 percent this fiscal year, down from 16 percent in the previous year. 

 “Domestic demand accounts for around 75 percent of the industry’s sales (in tonnage terms), while the rest is exported. About two-thirds of the domestic demand is from the replacement segment and the rest is from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). This fiscal, replacement demand, mainly from commercial and passenger vehicles, will drive volume growth, while OEM demand is expected to rise only between one and two percent due to slow growth in commercial vehicle sales,” says Anuj Sethi, Senior Director, CRISIL Ratings.

Stable cash flows and balance sheets 

Despite these challenges, tyre makers are expected to maintain stable credit profiles due to robust balance sheets and prudent capital expenditure. Cash flow generation, though modestly affected, will remain substantial. Gearing and interest coverage ratios are projected to stay steady at approximately 0.3 times and seven to eight times, respectively, consistent with last fiscal year’s levels. 

A CRISIL Ratings analysis of the six largest tyre manufacturers, which together account for about 87 percent of the industry’s revenue, supports this outlook. 

Export growth weakens 

Export growth is forecast to remain muted at two percent to three percent for the year, reflecting sluggish demand in key overseas markets such as North America and Europe, which collectively account for 60 percent of India’s tyre exports. Geopolitical tensions and supply-chain disruptions have exacerbated the situation, leading to higher freight costs and extended transit times, further curbing export demand. 

Global shortages drive up raw material costs 

The sharp rise in natural rubber prices is primarily attributed to a global supply shortage caused by adverse weather conditions in leading producer countries like Thailand and Vietnam, which together account for approximately 50 percent of global rubber production. 

In addition to natural rubber, the cost of other critical raw materials, including nylon tyre cords, carbon black, styrene-butadiene rubber and polybutadiene rubber, remains volatile due to their dependence on crude oil prices. 

Outlook and challenges 

Looking ahead, tyre makers will likely continue to face pressures from raw material price volatility, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) demand fluctuations, potential changes in import duties, and the implementation of Extended Producer Responsibility regulations. 

Naren Kartic. K, Associate Director, CRISIL Ratings, says, “To support domestic tyre manufacturers, the Indian government has extended the countervailing duty on Chinese radial tyres for five years to ease competition. Plus, given the sluggish demand and pressure on operating margins, tyre makers are implementing appropriate price increases and prudent capital expenditure to ensure that capital efficiencies remain satisfactory. With capacity utilisation at  around 80 percent, tyre manufacturers rated by us are investing around INR 55 billion this fiscal, slightly lower than last fiscal, with a focus on necessary capacity enhancements and debottlenecking.”

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Pirelli has entered into a strategic agreement with Swedish technology firm Univrses to integrate artificial intelligence-based computer vision systems into its Cyber Tyre platform. As part of the deal, Pirelli has acquired a 30 percent stake in Univrses, with an option to increase that share to a majority holding. The collaboration will embed Univrses’ 3DAI technologies into Pirelli’s existing Cyber Tyre solutions, creating a unified system aimed at producing safer and higher performing vehicles.

The combined technology has potential applications in advanced driver-assistance systems and autonomous driving. It also generates timely, actionable data for road management, helping authorities make better decisions and deploy resources more efficiently. This could lead to fewer road accidents and saved lives. The system uses onboard cameras and tyres to collect feedback on road conditions. Pirelli’s Cyber Tyre, the first integrated hardware and software system of its kind, gathers data from tyre sensors, processes it with proprietary algorithms and communicates in real time with vehicle electronics and the cloud.

Univrses originally developed its technology to help cars understand their surroundings, but it has since been adapted to turn vehicles into AI-powered road monitoring agents. The Swedish company’s 3DAI Engine provides autonomous vehicles with perception capabilities including 3D positioning, mapping and spatial deep learning. Its 3DAI system digitises roadside infrastructure using data from vehicle-mounted sensors like cameras.

A pilot project is already active in Italy. In 2025, Pirelli and the Puglia Region launched a road network monitoring system to create an updated map of infrastructure conditions. The system analyses data from tyres via the Cyber Tyre platform alongside visual data from cameras interpreted by Univrses’ technology.

Andrea Casaluci, CEO, Pirelli, said, “The agreement with Univrses further enhances our Cyber Tyre™ platform, thanks to advanced AI‑based artificial vision technologies. The collaboration between Pirelli and Univrses will make a significant contribution to the ongoing transformation of cars into true software‑defined vehicles.”

Jonathan Selbie, CEO, Univrses, said, “Continuous monitoring and data are becoming the new foundation for infrastructure asset management, and Univrses technology is able to provide powerful analytical capabilities based on reliable and frequently updated data. In this context, we are pleased to welcome Pirelli as an investor and to take our partnership to the next level: we will join forces to deliver increasingly advanced services and products.”

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ZC Rubber is preparing a major European-focused showcase at THE TIRE COLOGNE, scheduled to run from 9 to 11 June 2026. The tyre manufacturer will occupy Booth C050g in Hall 8.1, highlighting its WESTLAKE and GOODRIDE brands with a clear emphasis on products tailored specifically for regional market demands.

The display will blend imminent and future innovations. Products destined for a European launch in the latter half of 2026 will appear alongside the company’s current truck and bus radial lineup. Selected previews of developments planned for 2027 will also be on view. A featured attraction is the Westlake Sport RS2, a drift-proven ultra-high-performance tyre praised for its grip, precision and 180 treadwear rating. A renewed rubber compound, developed through work with the Red Bull Driftbrothers, now delivers steadier traction under severe driving conditions. Appearing at the stand, Red Bull Driftbrothers driver and engineer Elias Hountondji will illustrate how motorsport data directly refines ZC Rubber’s product engineering.

Additional new passenger car radial models for Europe in the second half of 2026 include the Westlake ZuperFlex Z-137, Goodride RideMax G-147, the all-season Westlake Zuper4S Z-411 and the off-road focused Westlake Terra Legend SL399 and Goodride Mud Legend SL388. On the truck and bus side, already available tyres such as the Westlake WSL2, Westlake WDL2+ and Goodride S2, D3 and D4 will be exhibited, covering steer and drive axle needs for long-haul and heavy-duty transport.

A sneak peek at 2027 offerings will feature the Westlake Z-301 commercial van tyre, Goodride All Season G-721, Goodride SnowComfort G-518 and new TBR models including the Westlake WTL2, Westlake WTR OEM and Goodride M2. ZC Rubber’s team will remain on-site throughout the event, welcoming visitors and partners to the booth for meetings and professional discussions.

Leo Liao, General Manager, ZC Rubber Europe, said, “This year’s showcase reflects a much broader and more complete portfolio for Europe. From UHP and all-season tyres to all-terrain, mud-terrain and TBR solutions, we are bringing new developments across almost every major segment. This reflects how seriously we take the European market: we are listening to local needs, investing in the right products and building a portfolio that better matches the needs of our European partners.”

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Magna Tyres has launched the MA801 TR, a new solid tyre engineered for extreme operating conditions in recycling facilities and heavy industrial settings. Designed to maximise equipment uptime while supporting high load capacities, the tyre is built to deliver dependable performance in harsh environments. The official debut of the MA801 TR will take place at IFAT 2026 in Munich, scheduled from 4 to 7 May 2026.

The new model is intended for compact wheel loaders and telescopic handlers, featuring a flat-free solid construction. Its extra-deep non‑directional tread is reinforced by a triangular structural design, which enhances traction and stability on surfaces littered with sharp debris. Available in sizes 13.00‑24 and 14.00‑24, the tyre prioritises puncture resistance and reduced maintenance needs.

Thanks to its robust architecture and deep tread profile, the MA801 TR offers an extended service life and consistent performance across demanding work cycles. By eliminating the risk of flats, Magna Tyres positions the tyre as a reliable solution for recycling and industrial operations where continuous heavy loads are standard.

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The Yokohama Rubber Co., Ltd. has secured validation from the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi), a prominent corporate climate-action organisation, for its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets set for 2035. This endorsement confirms that the company’s goals are scientifically aligned with the standards established under the Paris Agreement. The validated targets are measured relative to the company’s 2024 emission levels.

Under the approved framework, Yokohama Rubber aims for a 63.0 percent reduction in combined Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions, which cover direct emissions from its business activities as well as indirect emissions from purchased energy. Additionally, the company commits to a 37.5 percent cut in Scope 3 emissions, specifically targeting indirect supply chain emissions from purchased products and services, along with fuel and energy-related activities not included in Scope 1 or Scope 2. To achieve these reductions, Yokohama Rubber has been expanding solar power generation and renewable energy electricity at its global plants, while also disclosing indirect emissions from product distribution, use and disposal since 2013.

The company obtained SBTi validation to accelerate supply-chain-wide emission cuts in response to intensifying climate challenges. Operating under its sustainability management slogan, ‘Caring for the Future’, Yokohama Rubber continues to create shared value by tackling social issues directly through its business operations.

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